FKF Premier League · KenyaGOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL prediction & analysis
GOR Mahia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: GOR Mahia 1.8 – 0.6 Murang'a SEAL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
GOR Mahia are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 13% for Murang'a SEAL.
GOR Mahia have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. Murang'a SEAL have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.8 for GOR Mahia, 0.6 for Murang'a SEAL). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 42%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is GOR Mahia to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.54.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | GOR Mahia to win ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.53 |
| Double chance | GOR Mahia or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Half-time result | GOR Mahia ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT GOR Mahia / FT GOR Mahia ✓ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.22 | – |
Form
GOR Mahia – last 6
| 2 Oct | vs KCB | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Pyramids FC | 1–5 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Bandari | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Pyramids FC | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | @ APS Bomet | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Aug | @ Rayon Sports | 1–1 | D |
Murang'a SEAL – last 6
| 2 Oct | @ APS Bomet | 0–0 | D |
| 31 May | vs Mara Sugar | 2–1 | W |
| 24 May | @ Bidco United | 2–0 | W |
| 10 May | vs Homeboyz | 1–0 | W |
| 6 May | @ Police | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | vs Nairobi United | 2–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GOR Mahia and Murang'a SEAL.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL?
Our pick is GOR Mahia to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL?
On our numbers GOR Mahia have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Murang'a SEAL 13%.
How many goals will there be in GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
When is GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL?
GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.