Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio San Nicola
Bari vs AZ Picerno prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bari 1.8 – 0.6 AZ Picerno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bari are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 14% for AZ Picerno.
Bari have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. AZ Picerno have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.8 for Bari, 0.6 for AZ Picerno). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (15%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.10 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bari to win ✗ | 69% | 1.46 | 1.42 |
| Double chance | Bari or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.40 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Bari ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bari / FT Bari ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 17% | 5.96 | – |
Form
Bari – last 6
| 28 Aug | @ Barletta | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Cavese | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Casarano | 1–0 | W |
| 22 May | @ Sudtirol | 0–0 | D |
| 8 May | @ Catanzaro | 3–2 | W |
| 1 May | vs Virtus Entella | 2–0 | W |
AZ Picerno – last 6
| 28 Aug | @ Scafatese | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Savoia | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs Barletta | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | vs Cosenza | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Apr | @ Catania | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | vs SS Monopoli | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bari and AZ Picerno.
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Forli1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bari vs AZ Picerno?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Bari vs AZ Picerno?
On our numbers Bari have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and AZ Picerno 14%.
How many goals will there be in Bari vs AZ Picerno?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Bari vs AZ Picerno?
Bari vs AZ Picerno (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio San Nicola.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.