NPFL · Nigeria · Nnamdi Azikiwe StadiumEnugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.34 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Enugu Rangers 2.0 – 0.7 Bendel Insurance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Enugu Rangers are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 12% for Bendel Insurance.
Enugu Rangers have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Bendel Insurance have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (2.0 for Enugu Rangers, 0.7 for Bendel Insurance). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.34 is close to our fair price of 1.40. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.15 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Enugu Rangers to win ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.51 |
| Double chance | Enugu Rangers or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 2.15 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.40 | 1.34 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.61 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | 1.19 |
| Half-time result | Enugu Rangers ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Enugu Rangers / FT Enugu Rangers ✗ | 43% | 2.30 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 13% | 7.63 | – |
Form
Enugu Rangers – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Rivers United | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Oct | @ MC Alger | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs MC Alger | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Barau FC | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Abia Warriors | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | @ Warri Wolves | 1–0 | W |
Bendel Insurance – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Kwara United | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Rivers United | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Sporting Lagos | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Barau FC | 4–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Abia Warriors | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | vs Ikorodu City | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Enugu Rangers and Bendel Insurance.
NPFL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enugu Rangers | 38 | +20 | 68 |
| 2 |  Rivers United | 38 | +13 | 67 |
| 3 |  Shooting Stars | 38 | +1 | 60 |
| 4 |  Ikorodu City | 38 | +4 | 58 |
| 5 |  Nasarawa United | 38 | +3 | 56 |
| 6 |  Abia Warriors | 38 | -3 | 55 |
| 7 |  Bendel Insurance | 37 | +5 | 53 |
| 8 |  Barau FC | 38 | +4 | 52 |
| 9 |  Katsina United | 37 | -2 | 52 |
| 10 |  Kano Pillars | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 11 |  Plateau United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 12 |  Kwara United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 13 |  Enyimba | 38 | +2 | 49 |
| 14 |  Kun Khalifat FC | 38 | -1 | 49 |
| 15 |  Warri Wolves | 38 | -5 | 49 |
| 16 |  Niger Tornadoes | 38 | +1 | 48 |
| 17 |  Remo Stars | 38 | -5 | 47 |
| 18 |  El Kanemi Warriors | 38 | -16 | 47 |
| 19 |  Bayelsa United | 38 | -5 | 43 |
| 20 |  Wikki Tourist | 38 | -12 | 40 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance?
On our numbers Enugu Rangers have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bendel Insurance 12%.
How many goals will there be in Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance?
Enugu Rangers vs Bendel Insurance (NPFL) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Nnamdi Azikiwe Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.