NPFL · Nigeria · Lekan Salami StadiumShooting Stars vs Katsina United prediction & analysis
Shooting Stars to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Shooting Stars 1.9 – 0.8 Katsina United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Shooting Stars are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 15% for Katsina United.
Shooting Stars have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Katsina United have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. Katsina United come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.9 for Shooting Stars, 0.8 for Katsina United). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 43%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Shooting Stars to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.55.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Shooting Stars to win ✓ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | Shooting Stars or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.94 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Half-time result | Shooting Stars ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Shooting Stars / FT Shooting Stars ✓ | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.33 | – |
Form
Shooting Stars – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Plateau United | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ CS Sfaxien | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs CS Sfaxien | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs Inter Lagos | 2–1 | W |
| 24 May | @ Niger Tornadoes | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Apr | @ Remo Stars | 0–1 | L |
Katsina United – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Niger Tornadoes | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Kwara United | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Enugu Rangers | 1–1 | D |
| 24 May | @ Rivers United | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | vs Bayelsa United | 3–2 | W |
| 5 Apr | vs Niger Tornadoes | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shooting Stars and Katsina United.
NPFL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enugu Rangers | 38 | +20 | 68 |
| 2 |  Rivers United | 38 | +13 | 67 |
| 3 |  Shooting Stars | 38 | +1 | 60 |
| 4 |  Ikorodu City | 38 | +4 | 58 |
| 5 |  Nasarawa United | 38 | +3 | 56 |
| 6 |  Abia Warriors | 38 | -3 | 55 |
| 7 |  Bendel Insurance | 37 | +5 | 53 |
| 8 |  Barau FC | 38 | +4 | 52 |
| 9 |  Katsina United | 37 | -2 | 52 |
| 10 |  Kano Pillars | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 11 |  Plateau United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 12 |  Kwara United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 13 |  Enyimba | 38 | +2 | 49 |
| 14 |  Kun Khalifat FC | 38 | -1 | 49 |
| 15 |  Warri Wolves | 38 | -5 | 49 |
| 16 |  Niger Tornadoes | 38 | +1 | 48 |
| 17 |  Remo Stars | 38 | -5 | 47 |
| 18 |  El Kanemi Warriors | 38 | -16 | 47 |
| 19 |  Bayelsa United | 38 | -5 | 43 |
| 20 |  Wikki Tourist | 38 | -12 | 40 |
More NPFL predictions
League hub
Sporting Lagos3
Inter Lagos1
Ranchers Bees0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Shooting Stars vs Katsina United?
Our pick is Shooting Stars to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Shooting Stars vs Katsina United?
On our numbers Shooting Stars have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Katsina United 15%.
How many goals will there be in Shooting Stars vs Katsina United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
When is Shooting Stars vs Katsina United?
Shooting Stars vs Katsina United (NPFL) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lekan Salami Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.