NPFL · Nigeria · Mobolaji Johnson ArenaIkorodu City vs Barau FC prediction & analysis
Ikorodu City to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ikorodu City 2.0 – 0.7 Barau FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ikorodu City are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 10% for Barau FC.
Ikorodu City have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Barau FC have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Barau FC come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (2.0 for Ikorodu City, 0.7 for Barau FC). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 42%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (14%), 1–0 (14%), 2–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Ikorodu City have won 0, Barau FC have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Ikorodu City to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is better than our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ikorodu City to win ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.53 |
| Double chance | Ikorodu City or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.12 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.40 | – |
| Half-time result | Ikorodu City ahead at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ikorodu City / FT Ikorodu City ✗ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.25 | – |
Form
Ikorodu City – last 6
| 13 Sep | @ Abia Warriors | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Ranchers Bees | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | @ El Kanemi Warriors | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jun | @ Nasarawa United | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jun | vs Barau FC | 2–2 | D |
| 24 May | vs Enugu Rangers | 1–2 | L |
Barau FC – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Ranchers Bees | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Kun Khalifat FC | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Nasarawa United | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Jun | @ Ikorodu City | 2–2 | D |
| 24 May | vs Nasarawa United | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | @ Kwara United | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 11 Jun 2026 | Ikorodu City v Barau FC | 2–2 |
NPFL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enugu Rangers | 38 | +20 | 68 |
| 2 |  Rivers United | 38 | +13 | 67 |
| 3 |  Shooting Stars | 38 | +1 | 60 |
| 4 |  Ikorodu City | 38 | +4 | 58 |
| 5 |  Nasarawa United | 38 | +3 | 56 |
| 6 |  Abia Warriors | 38 | -3 | 55 |
| 7 |  Bendel Insurance | 37 | +5 | 53 |
| 8 |  Barau FC | 38 | +4 | 52 |
| 9 |  Katsina United | 37 | -2 | 52 |
| 10 |  Kano Pillars | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 11 |  Plateau United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 12 |  Kwara United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 13 |  Enyimba | 38 | +2 | 49 |
| 14 |  Kun Khalifat FC | 38 | -1 | 49 |
| 15 |  Warri Wolves | 38 | -5 | 49 |
| 16 |  Niger Tornadoes | 38 | +1 | 48 |
| 17 |  Remo Stars | 38 | -5 | 47 |
| 18 |  El Kanemi Warriors | 38 | -16 | 47 |
| 19 |  Bayelsa United | 38 | -5 | 43 |
| 20 |  Wikki Tourist | 38 | -12 | 40 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ikorodu City vs Barau FC?
Our pick is Ikorodu City to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Ikorodu City vs Barau FC?
On our numbers Ikorodu City have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Barau FC 10%.
How many goals will there be in Ikorodu City vs Barau FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
When is Ikorodu City vs Barau FC?
Ikorodu City vs Barau FC (NPFL) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mobolaji Johnson Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.