NPFL · Nigeria · Umuahia Township StadiumAbia Warriors vs Ikorodu City prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Abia Warriors 1.1 – 1.6 Ikorodu City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ikorodu City shade it despite being away from home – 56% to win, against 33% for Abia Warriors.
Abia Warriors have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Ikorodu City have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.1 for Abia Warriors, 1.6 for Ikorodu City). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Abia Warriors have won 1, Ikorodu City have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ikorodu City to win ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ikorodu City / FT Ikorodu City ✗ | 29% | 3.39 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.11 | – |
Form
Abia Warriors – last 6
| 24 May | @ Warri Wolves | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | vs Ikorodu City | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Apr | vs Bayelsa United | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | @ Enyimba | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Mar | vs Niger Tornadoes | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | @ Barau FC | 0–2 | L |
Ikorodu City – last 6
| 30 Aug | vs Ranchers Bees | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | @ El Kanemi Warriors | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jun | @ Nasarawa United | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Jun | vs Barau FC | 2–2 | D |
| 24 May | vs Enugu Rangers | 1–2 | L |
| 5 May | vs Wikki Tourist | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 19 Apr 2026 | Abia Warriors v Ikorodu City | 2–1 |
NPFL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enugu Rangers | 38 | +20 | 68 |
| 2 |  Rivers United | 38 | +13 | 67 |
| 3 |  Shooting Stars | 38 | +1 | 60 |
| 4 |  Ikorodu City | 38 | +4 | 58 |
| 5 |  Nasarawa United | 38 | +3 | 56 |
| 6 |  Abia Warriors | 38 | -3 | 55 |
| 7 |  Bendel Insurance | 37 | +5 | 53 |
| 8 |  Barau FC | 38 | +4 | 52 |
| 9 |  Katsina United | 37 | -2 | 52 |
| 10 |  Kano Pillars | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 11 |  Plateau United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 12 |  Kwara United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 13 |  Enyimba | 38 | +2 | 49 |
| 14 |  Kun Khalifat FC | 38 | -1 | 49 |
| 15 |  Warri Wolves | 38 | -5 | 49 |
| 16 |  Niger Tornadoes | 38 | +1 | 48 |
| 17 |  Remo Stars | 38 | -5 | 47 |
| 18 |  El Kanemi Warriors | 38 | -16 | 47 |
| 19 |  Bayelsa United | 38 | -5 | 43 |
| 20 |  Wikki Tourist | 38 | -12 | 40 |
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What is the prediction for Abia Warriors vs Ikorodu City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance.
Who will win Abia Warriors vs Ikorodu City?
On our numbers Abia Warriors have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Ikorodu City 56%.
How many goals will there be in Abia Warriors vs Ikorodu City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Abia Warriors vs Ikorodu City?
Abia Warriors vs Ikorodu City (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Umuahia Township Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.