1st Division · Albania

Besa Kavajë

WDWLW
1–1
FT

Burreli

LLLLD

Besa Kavajë vs Burreli prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.16 – our chance 51% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultBesa Kavajë to win ✗70% · @1.25
Double chanceBesa Kavajë or draw ✓87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.16
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.30

Win chances

Besa Kavajë70%fair 1.43 · @1.25
Draw17%fair 5.81 · @4.70
Burreli13%fair 7.92 · @10.30
2.71Expected goals
2.03Besa Kavajë xG
0.68Burreli xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–014%
1–014%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Besa Kavajë 2.0 – 0.7 Burreli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Besa Kavajë are clear favourites at home with a 70% chance of winning, against 13% for Burreli.

Besa Kavajë have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Burreli have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Besa Kavajë come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.7 goals (2.0 for Besa Kavajë, 0.7 for Burreli). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (14%), 1–0 (14%), 2–1 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Besa Kavajë have won 1, Burreli have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.16 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBesa Kavajë to win ✗70%1.431.25
Double chanceBesa Kavajë or draw ✓87%1.141.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.962.16 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.35
Half-time resultBesa Kavajë ahead at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Besa Kavajë / FT Besa Kavajë ✗45%2.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14%7.30–

Form

Besa Kavajë – last 6

WDWLWW
1 Novvs Pogradeci3–2W
28 Oct@ Bylis0–0D
24 Octvs Korabi Peshkopi2–0W
16 Oct@ FK Kukesi0–2L
11 Octvs Iliria Fushë-Krujë2–0W
7 Octvs Devolli4–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Burreli – last 6

LLLLDL
1 Novvs Bylis0–2L
28 Oct@ Korabi Peshkopi0–1L
24 Octvs FK Kukesi1–2L
17 Oct@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë0–1L
11 Octvs Besëlidhja Lezhë0–0D
7 Octvs Eagle FA2–3L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Besa Kavajë v Burreli1–0

More 1st Division predictions

FT Iliria Fushë-Krujë1 Oriku0 73217 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.31 ✓ FT FK Kukesi2 Sopoti Librazhd0 652411 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.46 ✓ FT Pogradeci1 Besëlidhja Lezhë0 632314 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.21 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Besa Kavajë vs Burreli?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Besa Kavajë vs Burreli?

On our numbers Besa Kavajë have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Burreli 13%.

How many goals will there be in Besa Kavajë vs Burreli?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

When is Besa Kavajë vs Burreli?

Besa Kavajë vs Burreli (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.