Cupa României · Romania
CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti prediction & analysis
Petrolul Ploiesti to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 2.41 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: CSM Reşiţa 1.7 – 2.3 Petrolul Ploiesti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Petrolul Ploiesti shade it despite being away from home – 51% to win, against 26% for CSM Reşiţa.
CSM Reşiţa have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Petrolul Ploiesti have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 4.0 goals (1.7 for CSM Reşiţa, 2.3 for Petrolul Ploiesti). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (8%), 1–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%).
Our pick is Petrolul Ploiesti to win at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.41 is better than our fair price of 1.96, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Petrolul Ploiesti to win ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 2.41 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Half-time result | Petrolul Ploiesti ahead at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Petrolul Ploiesti / FT Petrolul Ploiesti ✗ | 34% | 2.97 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.03 | – |
Form
CSM Reşiţa – last 6
| 15 Aug | vs Ştefăneşti | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | @ Timişul Şag | 3–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ CSM Satu Mare | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs ASA Targu Mures | 2–1 | W |
| 9 May | @ Tunari | 1–3 | L |
| 2 May | vs Viitorul Şelimbăr | 0–2 | L |
Petrolul Ploiesti – last 6
| 14 Aug | @ FC Voluntari | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Aug | vs Oţelul | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Universitatea Craiova | 0–4 | L |
| 24 Jul | @ Arges Pitesti | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Jul | vs Dinamo Bucuresti | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Jul | vs ASA Targu Mures | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSM Reşiţa and Petrolul Ploiesti.
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Chindia Targoviste1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Our pick is Petrolul Ploiesti to win with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.41.
Who will win CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
On our numbers CSM Reşiţa have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Petrolul Ploiesti 51%.
How many goals will there be in CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti (Cupa României) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.