Premier League Cup · England · LNER Community Stadium
Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21 prediction & analysis
Leeds United U21 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Leeds United U21 to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Leeds United U21 1.6 – 0.6 Stoke City U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Leeds United U21 are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 15% for Stoke City U21.
Leeds United U21 have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.2 per game. Stoke City U21 have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 1.5 scored and 2.7 conceded. Leeds United U21 come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.6 for Leeds United U21, 0.6 for Stoke City U21). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 2–0 (14%), 0–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Leeds United U21 have won 0, Stoke City U21 have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Leeds United U21 or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Leeds United U21 to win at 1.91 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Leeds United U21 to win ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Leeds United U21 or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Leeds United U21 / FT Leeds United U21 ✗ | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 18% | 5.54 | – |
Form
Leeds United U21 – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Crystal Palace U21 | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Oct | @ Oldham | 2–4 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Stockport County U21 | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Oct | @ Tamworth | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | @ Barnsley | 4–3 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Newcastle United U21 | 2–0 | W |
Stoke City U21 – last 6
| 23 Oct | @ Manchester City U21 | 3–4 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Nordsjælland U21 | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs Chelsea U21 | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | @ FC Halifax Town | 2–4 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Charlton Athletic U21 | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Sep | @ AFC Bournemouth U21 | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 14 Aug 2026 | Stoke City U21 v Leeds United U21 | 0–0 |
Premier League Cup table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sheffield United U21 | 6 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Stoke City U21 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 3 |  Derby County U21 | 6 | +3 | 5 |
| 4 |  Bristol City U21 | 6 | -8 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21?
Our pick is Leeds United U21 or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21?
On our numbers Leeds United U21 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stoke City U21 15%.
How many goals will there be in Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21?
Leeds United U21 vs Stoke City U21 (Premier League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at LNER Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.