Serie D Girone H · Italy

Melfi

LDWLL
2–1
FT

Brindisi

WWWWW

Melfi vs Brindisi prediction & analysis

57%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBrindisi to win ✗52% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.05

Win chances

Melfi26%fair 3.82 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.15
Brindisi52%fair 1.93 · @2.00
2.30Expected goals
0.89Melfi xG
1.41Brindisi xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%

From our goals model: Melfi 0.9 – 1.4 Brindisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Brindisi shade it despite being away from home – 52% to win, against 26% for Melfi.

Melfi have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Brindisi have 18 points from their last 6 (6W 0D 0L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.0 conceded. Brindisi come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.3 goals (0.9 for Melfi, 1.4 for Brindisi). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (10%).

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.75.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBrindisi to win ✗52%1.932.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.851.82
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Brindisi / FT Brindisi ✗29%3.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.05–

Form

Melfi – last 6

LDWLLL
1 Nov@ Manfredonia0–3L
25 Octvs USD Palmese2–2D
17 Octvs Bisceglie1–0W
11 Oct@ Ischia0–3L
4 Octvs Nocerina0–1L
27 Sep@ Ebolitana0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Brindisi – last 6

WWWWWW
1 Novvs Ebolitana2–0W
25 Oct@ Bisceglie2–0W
18 Octvs Nardò2–0W
11 Oct@ Nocerina1–0W
4 Octvs Real Normanna3–0W
27 Sep@ Francavilla1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Melfi and Brindisi.

More Serie D Girone H predictions

FT Nardò3 Turris1 142363 2Turris to win 63%@1.75 ✗ FT Bisceglie1 Gladiator2 402536 GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.67 ✓ FT Ebolitana0 Fidelis Andria0 252253 GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.80 ✗ FT Francavilla0 Virtus Francavilla1 172063 2Virtus Francavilla to win 63%@1.78 ✓ FT Ischia0 Gravina1 392536 GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.69 ✗ FT Nocerina1 Real Forio 20142 70228 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓ FT USD Palmese2 Martina Franca0 202456 X2Martina Franca or draw 80%@1.22 ✗ FT Real Normanna0 Manfredonia0 442234 GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.75 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Melfi vs Brindisi?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Melfi vs Brindisi?

On our numbers Melfi have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Brindisi 52%.

How many goals will there be in Melfi vs Brindisi?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

When is Melfi vs Brindisi?

Melfi vs Brindisi (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.