Serie D Girone H · Italy

Francavilla

LWDDL
0–1
FT

Virtus Francavilla

WWWLW

Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Virtus Francavilla to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.78 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.78Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultVirtus Francavilla to win ✓63% · @1.78
Double chanceVirtus Francavilla or draw ✓83% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.80

Win chances

Francavilla17%fair 5.94 · @4.20
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.25
Virtus Francavilla63%fair 1.58 · @1.78
2.47Expected goals
0.73Francavilla xG
1.74Virtus Francavilla xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: Francavilla 0.7 – 1.7 Virtus Francavilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Virtus Francavilla travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 17% for Francavilla.

Francavilla have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Virtus Francavilla have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. Virtus Francavilla come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.5 goals (0.7 for Francavilla, 1.7 for Virtus Francavilla). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (11%).

In their last 1 meeting, Francavilla have won 1, Virtus Francavilla have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Virtus Francavilla to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.78 is better than our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVirtus Francavilla to win ✓63%1.581.78 ▲
Double chanceVirtus Francavilla or draw ✓83%1.201.19
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.871.86
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Half-time resultVirtus Francavilla ahead at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Virtus Francavilla / FT Virtus Francavilla ✗38%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15%6.80–

Form

Francavilla – last 6

LWDDLL
1 Nov@ Fidelis Andria0–2L
25 Octvs Real Forio 20142–1W
18 Oct@ Gravina1–1D
11 Octvs Gladiator1–1D
4 Oct@ Martina Franca0–1L
27 Sepvs Brindisi0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Virtus Francavilla – last 6

WWWLWW
1 Nov@ Turris2–1W
28 Oct@ Fidelis Andria1–0W
25 Octvs Manfredonia2–0W
18 Oct@ Fidelis Andria1–2L
11 Octvs Real Forio 20142–0W
7 Octvs Gravina3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Virtus Francavilla v Francavilla0–3

More Serie D Girone H predictions

FT Nardò3 Turris1 142363 2Turris to win 63%@1.75 ✗ FT Bisceglie1 Gladiator2 402536 GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.67 ✓ FT Ebolitana0 Fidelis Andria0 252253 GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.80 ✗ FT Ischia0 Gravina1 392536 GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.69 ✗ FT Melfi2 Brindisi1 262252 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 57%@1.67 ✗ FT Nocerina1 Real Forio 20142 70228 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓ FT USD Palmese2 Martina Franca0 202456 X2Martina Franca or draw 80%@1.22 ✗ FT Real Normanna0 Manfredonia0 442234 GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.75 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla?

Our pick is Virtus Francavilla to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.78.

Who will win Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla?

On our numbers Francavilla have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Virtus Francavilla 63%.

How many goals will there be in Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

When is Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla?

Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.