Serie D Girone I · ItalyCastrumFavara vs Reggina prediction & analysis
Reggina to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: CastrumFavara 0.6 – 1.9 Reggina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Reggina travel as clear favourites – 68% to win, against 11% for CastrumFavara.
CastrumFavara have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Reggina have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. Reggina come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (0.6 for CastrumFavara, 1.9 for Reggina). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 42%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–2 (15%), 1–1 (9%).
Our pick is Reggina to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.46.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Reggina to win ✗ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | Reggina or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Half-time result | Reggina ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Reggina / FT Reggina ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 15% | 6.57 | – |
Form
CastrumFavara – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Trapani 1905 | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Igea Virtus | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Vigor Lamezia | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Calcio Avola | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Modica | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | vs Licata | 1–1 | D |
Reggina – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Nissa | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Vibonese | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Oct | @ Igea Virtus | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Trapani 1905 | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Igea Virtus | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Vigor Lamezia | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CastrumFavara and Reggina.
Serie D Girone I table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Reggina | 11 | +21 | 26 |
| 2 |  Sambiase | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 3 |  Vibonese | 11 | +14 | 24 |
| 4 |  Calcio Avola | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Milazzo | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Igea Virtus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Gela | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Siracusa | 11 | +8 | 14 |
| 10 |  AC Palermo | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Licata | 11 | -11 | 14 |
| 12 |  Modica | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Nissa | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Trapani 1905 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  CastrumFavara | 11 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Vigor Lamezia | 11 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Ragusa | 11 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 |  Enna | 11 | -23 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CastrumFavara vs Reggina?
Our pick is Reggina to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win CastrumFavara vs Reggina?
On our numbers CastrumFavara have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Reggina 68%.
How many goals will there be in CastrumFavara vs Reggina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
When is CastrumFavara vs Reggina?
CastrumFavara vs Reggina (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.