Serie D Girone A · Italy

Asti

WLDLW
2–3
FT

Sanremese

DWDWD

Asti vs Sanremese prediction & analysis

58%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1

Value bet: Asti to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultSanremese to win ✓44% · @2.07
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.98

Win chances

Asti33%fair 3.01 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.05
Sanremese44%fair 2.25 · @2.07
2.32Expected goals
1.05Asti xG
1.27Sanremese xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Asti 1.0 – 1.3 Sanremese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Sanremese shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 33% for Asti.

Asti have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Sanremese have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. Sanremese come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.3 goals (1.0 for Asti, 1.3 for Sanremese). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Asti have won 1, Sanremese have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.74. For a bigger price, Asti to win at 3.30 is our value angle (33% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanremese to win ✓44%2.252.07
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.31
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.87
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.741.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.26–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanremese / FT Sanremese ✓24%4.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.98–

Form

Asti – last 6

WLDLWL
1 Nov@ Fezzanese2–0W
25 Octvs Borgosesia0–3L
18 Oct@ Derthona1–1D
11 Octvs Lascaris0–1L
4 Octvs Millesimo2–0W
27 Sep@ Alessandria0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sanremese – last 6

DWDWDW
1 Novvs Imperia0–0D
28 Oct@ Sant'Angelo1–0W
25 Oct@ Millesimo1–1D
18 Octvs Sestri Levante1–0W
11 Oct@ Valenzana1–1D
7 Octvs Millesimo5–2W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Sanremese v Asti0–1

More Serie D Girone A predictions

FT Alessandria1 Celle Varazze0 72208 1Alessandria to win 72%@1.33 ✓ FT Gozzano1 Derthona2 342442 GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.75 ✓ FT Valenzana1 Chisola1 172260 GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.64 ✓ FT Lascaris2 Biellese2 182061 X2Biellese or draw 82%@1.22 ✓ FT Millesimo0 Ligorna0 362440 GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.76 ✗ FT Imperia0 Saluzzo1 492229 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 56%@1.70 ✓ FT Sestri Levante3 Bra2 402436 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 55%@1.82 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Asti vs Sanremese?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Asti vs Sanremese?

On our numbers Asti have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sanremese 44%.

How many goals will there be in Asti vs Sanremese?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

When is Asti vs Sanremese?

Asti vs Sanremese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.