Serie D Girone A · Italy · Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta

Alessandria

WWWWL
1–0
FT

Celle Varazze

WLLDL

Alessandria vs Celle Varazze prediction & analysis

72%
Footrivo pick

Alessandria to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAlessandria to win ✓72% · @1.33
Double chanceAlessandria or draw ✓92% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.02

Win chances

Alessandria72%fair 1.40 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @4.50
Celle Varazze8%fair 11.98 · @7.40
2.81Expected goals
2.17Alessandria xG
0.64Celle Varazze xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Alessandria 2.2 – 0.6 Celle Varazze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Alessandria are clear favourites at home with a 72% chance of winning, against 8% for Celle Varazze.

Alessandria have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Celle Varazze have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 2.0 conceded. Alessandria come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.8 goals (2.2 for Alessandria, 0.6 for Celle Varazze). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (14%), 1–0 (13%), 3–0 (10%).

Our pick is Alessandria to win at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.40.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlessandria to win ✓72%1.401.33
Double chanceAlessandria or draw ✓92%1.091.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.991.65
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultAlessandria ahead at half-time ✗52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alessandria / FT Alessandria ✗48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14%7.02–

Form

Alessandria – last 6

WWWWLW
1 Nov@ Borgosesia3–1W
25 Octvs Biellese2–0W
18 Oct@ Lascaris2–1W
11 Octvs Fezzanese2–0W
7 Oct@ Biellese2–3L
4 Oct@ Derthona3–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Celle Varazze – last 6

WLLDLL
1 Novvs Valenzana2–1W
25 Oct@ Imperia0–2L
18 Octvs Gozzano1–2L
11 Oct@ Sestri Levante1–1D
7 Oct@ Bra0–2L
4 Octvs Chisola0–4L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alessandria and Celle Varazze.

More Serie D Girone A predictions

FT Asti2 Sanremese3 332244 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 58%@1.62 ✗ FT Gozzano1 Derthona2 342442 GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.75 ✓ FT Valenzana1 Chisola1 172260 GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.64 ✓ FT Lascaris2 Biellese2 182061 X2Biellese or draw 82%@1.22 ✓ FT Millesimo0 Ligorna0 362440 GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.76 ✗ FT Imperia0 Saluzzo1 492229 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 56%@1.70 ✓ FT Sestri Levante3 Bra2 402436 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 55%@1.82 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alessandria vs Celle Varazze?

Our pick is Alessandria to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Alessandria vs Celle Varazze?

On our numbers Alessandria have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Celle Varazze 8%.

How many goals will there be in Alessandria vs Celle Varazze?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

When is Alessandria vs Celle Varazze?

Alessandria vs Celle Varazze (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.