Serie D Girone A · Italy · Stadio Attilio BraviBra vs Celle Varazze prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Bra to win @ 1.88 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bra 1.6 – 0.5 Celle Varazze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bra are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 12% for Celle Varazze.
Bra have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Celle Varazze have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 0.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.6 for Bra, 0.5 for Celle Varazze). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.27. For a bigger price, Bra to win at 1.88 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bra to win ✓ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.88 ▲ |
| Double chance | Bra or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.32 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.68 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bra / FT Bra ✓ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 19% | 5.18 | – |
Form
Bra – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Sanremese | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Borgosesia | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | vs Biellese | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Lascaris | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Fezzanese | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | @ Juventus U23 | 2–2 | D |
Celle Varazze – last 6
| 4 Oct | vs Chisola | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Ligorna | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Saluzzo | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Sanremese | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Derthona | 0–1 | L |
| 3 May | @ Imperia | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bra and Celle Varazze.
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bra vs Celle Varazze?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bra vs Celle Varazze?
On our numbers Bra have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Celle Varazze 12%.
How many goals will there be in Bra vs Celle Varazze?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
When is Bra vs Celle Varazze?
Bra vs Celle Varazze (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Attilio Bravi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.