Serie D Girone A · Italy · Stadio Giuseppe MoccagattaAlessandria vs Imperia prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Alessandria 1.5 – 1.2 Imperia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Alessandria hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 32% for Imperia.
Alessandria have taken 9 points from their last 4 matches (3W 0D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Imperia have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Alessandria come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.5 for Alessandria, 1.2 for Imperia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.84.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alessandria to win ✓ | 45% | 2.22 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alessandria / FT Alessandria ✗ | 26% | 3.91 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.56 | – |
Form
Alessandria – last 4
| 27 Sep | vs Asti | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Millesimo | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Sestri Levante | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Valenzana | 2–1 | W |
Imperia – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Fezzanese | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Asti | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Derthona | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Millesimo | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Pro Patria | 1–2 | L |
| 3 May | vs Celle Varazze | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alessandria and Imperia.
Serie D Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alessandria | 11 | +12 | 30 |
| 2 |  Chisola | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 3 |  Biellese | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Derthona | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Ligorna | 11 | +5 | 18 |
| 6 |  Millesimo | 11 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |  Sanremese | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Saluzzo | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Imperia | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Asti | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gozzano | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sestri Levante | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Borgosesia | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lascaris | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Fezzanese | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Bra | 11 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Valenzana | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Celle Varazze | 11 | -15 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Alessandria vs Imperia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Alessandria vs Imperia?
On our numbers Alessandria have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Imperia 32%.
How many goals will there be in Alessandria vs Imperia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Alessandria vs Imperia?
Alessandria vs Imperia (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.