National League Cup · England · The Lamb Ground
Tamworth vs Leeds United U21 prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Tamworth to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tamworth 3.6 – 2.4 Leeds United U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Tamworth hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 25% for Leeds United U21.
Tamworth have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.0 per game. Leeds United U21 have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 6.0 goals (3.6 for Tamworth, 2.4 for Leeds United U21). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 3–2 (6%), 4–2 (5%), 2–2 (5%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Tamworth to win at 1.85 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Tamworth to win ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 73% | 1.36 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 98% | 1.02 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 94% | 1.07 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Half-time result | Tamworth ahead at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.06 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Tamworth / FT Tamworth ✓ | 40% | 2.48 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 3–2 ✗ | 6% | 18.02 | – |
Form
Tamworth – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Hartlepool | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | vs Sutton Utd | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Aldershot Town | 1–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Wealdstone | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Sep | @ Southend | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Harrogate Town | 1–3 | L |
Leeds United U21 – last 6
| 22 Sep | @ Barnsley | 4–3 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Newcastle United U21 | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Middlesbrough U21 | 4–4 | D |
| 8 Sep | @ Solihull Moors | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ Charlton Athletic U21 | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Liverpool U21 | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tamworth and Leeds United U21.
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Newcastle United U211Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tamworth vs Leeds United U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Tamworth vs Leeds United U21?
On our numbers Tamworth have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Leeds United U21 25%.
How many goals will there be in Tamworth vs Leeds United U21?
We expect about 6.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
When is Tamworth vs Leeds United U21?
Tamworth vs Leeds United U21 (National League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Lamb Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.