Tercera División RFEF Group 16 · Spain
Berceo
Alfaro
Berceo vs Alfaro prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Berceo 1.2 – 1.5 Alfaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Alfaro shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 32% for Berceo.
Berceo have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Alfaro have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.2 for Berceo, 1.5 for Alfaro). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.24 is close to our fair price of 1.34.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alfaro to win ✓ | 46% | 2.16 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.68 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.24 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.42 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alfaro / FT Alfaro ✗ | 27% | 3.76 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.37 | – |
Form
Berceo – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Calasancio | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Agoncillo | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Oyonesa | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs La Calzada | 5–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Pradejón | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs San Marcial | 2–1 | W |
Alfaro – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Comillas | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Varea | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Vianés | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Casalarreina | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Calahorra | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Anguiano | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Berceo and Alfaro.
More Tercera División RFEF Group 16 predictions
Varea2
Anguiano0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
78%@1.21
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Berceo vs Alfaro?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Berceo vs Alfaro?
On our numbers Berceo have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alfaro 46%.
How many goals will there be in Berceo vs Alfaro?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Berceo vs Alfaro?
Berceo vs Alfaro (Tercera División RFEF Group 16) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.