Tercera División RFEF Group 14 · Spain
Gévora
Azuaga
Gévora vs Azuaga prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.31 · Won ✓
Value bet: Azuaga to win @ 1.72 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gévora 0.8 – 2.0 Azuaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Azuaga travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 13% for Gévora.
Gévora have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Azuaga have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Azuaga come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (0.8 for Gévora, 2.0 for Azuaga). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (12%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.31 is close to our fair price of 1.37. For a bigger price, Azuaga to win at 1.72 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Azuaga to win ✗ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.72 ▲ |
| Double chance | Azuaga or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.92 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.31 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.64 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.19 |
| Half-time result | Azuaga ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Azuaga / FT Azuaga ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.07 | – |
Form
Gévora – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Cabeza Buey | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Montijo | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Villafranca | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Llerenense | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Moralo | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Atlético Pueblonuevo | 3–1 | W |
Azuaga – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Santa Amalia | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ CD Zafra | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Jaraíz | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Villanovense | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Guadiana | 4–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Jerez | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gévora and Azuaga.
More Tercera División RFEF Group 14 predictions
Santa Amalia4
Guadiana0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
62%@1.58
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gévora vs Azuaga?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Gévora vs Azuaga?
On our numbers Gévora have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Azuaga 64%.
How many goals will there be in Gévora vs Azuaga?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Gévora vs Azuaga?
Gévora vs Azuaga (Tercera División RFEF Group 14) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.