Tercera División RFEF Group 7 · Spain

Galapagar

DWLWL
2–0
FT

SS Reyes II

LDWLL

Galapagar vs SS Reyes II prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.59 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.59Odds
1

Value bet: Galapagar to win @ 1.79 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultGalapagar to win ✓59% · @1.79
Double chanceGalapagar or draw ✓81% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52

Win chances

Galapagar59%fair 1.69 · @1.79
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.50
SS Reyes II19%fair 5.35 · @3.60
3.54Expected goals
2.28Galapagar xG
1.25SS Reyes II xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Galapagar 2.3 – 1.3 SS Reyes II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Galapagar hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 19% for SS Reyes II.

Galapagar have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0 per game. SS Reyes II have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 2.0 scored and 3.3 conceded. Galapagar come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.5 goals (2.3 for Galapagar, 1.3 for SS Reyes II). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%).

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.59 is close to our fair price of 1.59. For a bigger price, Galapagar to win at 1.79 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGalapagar to win ✓59%1.691.79 ▲
Double chanceGalapagar or draw ✓81%1.231.19
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.55
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.591.59
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.721.44
Half-time resultGalapagar ahead at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Galapagar / FT Galapagar ✓39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.52–

Form

Galapagar – last 6

DWLWLW
1 Nov@ Trival Valderas2–2D
25 Octvs RC Alcobendas4–1W
18 Oct@ Móstoles0–3L
11 Oct@ Leganés II3–2W
4 Octvs Cala Pozuelo1–3L
27 Sep@ Rayo Vallecano II2–1W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

SS Reyes II – last 6

LDWLLL
1 Novvs Leganés II0–4L
25 Oct@ Cala Pozuelo1–1D
18 Octvs Rayo Vallecano II4–3W
11 Oct@ Las Rozas2–4L
4 Octvs Real Aranjuez3–5L
27 Sep@ Pozuelo Alarcón2–3L
2.0Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Galapagar and SS Reyes II.

More Tercera División RFEF Group 7 predictions

FT Parla Escuela1 Móstoles3 192161 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.23 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Galapagar vs SS Reyes II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.59.

Who will win Galapagar vs SS Reyes II?

On our numbers Galapagar have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SS Reyes II 19%.

How many goals will there be in Galapagar vs SS Reyes II?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

When is Galapagar vs SS Reyes II?

Galapagar vs SS Reyes II (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.