Tercera División RFEF Group 7 · Spain
Parla Escuela
Móstoles
Parla Escuela vs Móstoles prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
Value bet: Móstoles to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Parla Escuela 1.0 – 2.0 Móstoles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Móstoles travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 19% for Parla Escuela.
Parla Escuela have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 per game. Móstoles have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Móstoles come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.0 for Parla Escuela, 2.0 for Móstoles). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–1 (11%), 0–2 (10%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.31. For a bigger price, Móstoles to win at 1.91 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Móstoles to win ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Móstoles or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.69 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.23 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.29 |
| Half-time result | Móstoles ahead at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Móstoles / FT Móstoles ✓ | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.52 | – |
Form
Parla Escuela – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Villanueva Pardillo | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Unión Adarve | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Torrejón | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Fuenlabrada | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Alcobendas Sport | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Colonia Moscardó | 2–2 | D |
Móstoles – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs RC Alcobendas | 5–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Villanueva Pardillo | 6–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Galapagar | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Unión Adarve | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Leganés II | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Torrejón | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parla Escuela and Móstoles.
More Tercera División RFEF Group 7 predictions
Galapagar2
SS Reyes II0
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
63%@1.59
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?
On our numbers Parla Escuela have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Móstoles 61%.
How many goals will there be in Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Parla Escuela vs Móstoles?
Parla Escuela vs Móstoles (Tercera División RFEF Group 7) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.