Tercera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain

Mosconia

LWLDD
1–1
FT

Sporting Gijón II

LWWDD

Mosconia vs Sporting Gijón II prediction & analysis

72%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSporting Gijón II to win ✗47% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.74

Win chances

Mosconia31%fair 3.25 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.18
Sporting Gijón II47%fair 2.11 · @2.06
2.70Expected goals
1.17Mosconia xG
1.53Sporting Gijón II xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Mosconia 1.2 – 1.5 Sporting Gijón II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Sporting Gijón II shade it despite being away from home – 47% to win, against 31% for Mosconia.

Mosconia have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.0 per game. Sporting Gijón II have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.7 goals (1.2 for Mosconia, 1.5 for Sporting Gijón II). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Mosconia have won 0, Sporting Gijón II have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.38.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting Gijón II to win ✗47%2.112.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.79
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.23
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting Gijón II / FT Sporting Gijón II ✗27%3.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.74–

Form

Mosconia – last 6

LWLDDW
31 Oct@ Praviano2–5L
25 Octvs L'Entregu3–1W
18 Oct@ Covadonga0–4L
10 Octvs Ceares2–2D
4 Oct@ Astur0–0D
26 Sepvs Andes1–0W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sporting Gijón II – last 6

LWWDDW
31 Octvs San Martín0–2L
24 Oct@ Siero2–1W
18 Octvs Colunga4–0W
11 Oct@ Caudal1–1D
4 Octvs Langreo1–1D
27 Sep@ Avilés Stadium2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Sporting Gijón II v Mosconia2–1

More Tercera División RFEF Group 2 predictions

FT Condal1 L'Entregu0 582517 1XCondal or draw 83%@1.21 ✓ FT Colunga2 Langreo3 122365 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.24 ✓ FT San Martín0 Lealtad1 272251 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.21 ✓ FT Caudal1 Llanes2 682210 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mosconia vs Sporting Gijón II?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Mosconia vs Sporting Gijón II?

On our numbers Mosconia have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting Gijón II 47%.

How many goals will there be in Mosconia vs Sporting Gijón II?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is Mosconia vs Sporting Gijón II?

Mosconia vs Sporting Gijón II (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.