Tercera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain
San Martín
Lealtad
San Martín vs Lealtad prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: San Martín 1.0 – 1.5 Lealtad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Lealtad shade it despite being away from home – 51% to win, against 27% for San Martín.
San Martín have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Lealtad have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 for San Martín, 1.5 for Lealtad). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 1–1 (12%), 0–2 (9%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.21 is close to our fair price of 1.32.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lealtad to win ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.98 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.81 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.68 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.21 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lealtad / FT Lealtad ✓ | 29% | 3.48 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 13% | 7.85 | – |
Form
San Martín – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Sporting Gijón II | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Praviano | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ L'Entregu | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Covadonga | 4–2 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Ceares | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Astur | 2–2 | D |
Lealtad – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Siero | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Colunga | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Caudal | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Langreo | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Avilés Stadium | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Llanes | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martín and Lealtad.
More Tercera División RFEF Group 2 predictions
Condal1
L'Entregu0
1XCondal or draw
83%@1.21
✓
FT
Colunga2
Langreo3
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
76%@1.24
✓
FT
Mosconia1
Sporting Gijón II1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
72%@1.30
✓
FT
Caudal1
Llanes2
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
67%@1.42
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for San Martín vs Lealtad?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win San Martín vs Lealtad?
On our numbers San Martín have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lealtad 51%.
How many goals will there be in San Martín vs Lealtad?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is San Martín vs Lealtad?
San Martín vs Lealtad (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.