Tercera División RFEF Group 1 · SpainSarriana vs Celta de Vigo III prediction & analysis
Sarriana to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sarriana 1.8 – 0.7 Celta de Vigo III expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sarriana are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 13% for Celta de Vigo III.
Sarriana have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 per game. Celta de Vigo III have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for Sarriana, 0.7 for Celta de Vigo III). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 44%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Sarriana to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sarriana to win ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Sarriana or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Half-time result | Sarriana ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sarriana / FT Sarriana ✓ | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.64 | – |
Form
Sarriana – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Alondras | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Viveiro | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Estradense | 3–1 | W |
| 3 May | vs Racing Santander II | 3–4 | L |
| 26 Apr | @ Atlético Astorga | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Mar | @ Numancia | 2–2 | D |
Celta de Vigo III – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Antela | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Pontevedra II | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Lalin | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Apr | @ Viveiro | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Apr | @ Compostela | 1–5 | L |
| 19 Mar | vs Cambados | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarriana and Celta de Vigo III.
Tercera División RFEF Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boiro | 10 | +10 | 23 |
| 2 |  Sarriana | 10 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 |  Silva | 10 | +1 | 17 |
| 4 |  Barco | 10 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  Atlético Arteixo | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Portonovo SD | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 7 |  Estradense | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 |  Lalin | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Villalbés | 10 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Pontevedra II | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Antela | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Alondras | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Somozas | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 |  Celtiga | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Arenteiro | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Coruña | 10 | -9 | 9 |
| 17 |  Celta de Vigo III | 10 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 |  Viveiro | 10 | -6 | 8 |
More Tercera División RFEF Group 1 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sarriana vs Celta de Vigo III?
Our pick is Sarriana to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sarriana vs Celta de Vigo III?
On our numbers Sarriana have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Celta de Vigo III 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sarriana vs Celta de Vigo III?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
When is Sarriana vs Celta de Vigo III?
Sarriana vs Celta de Vigo III (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.