Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res. Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 11 Nov 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultIndependiente Res. to win61% · @1.93

Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.21

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.06

Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res. preview and prediction

The match

Lanús Res. travel to face Independiente Res. in the Reserve League on Wednesday 11 November (19:00 WAT). Independiente Res. are 1st with 37 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Lanús Res. sit 2nd on 36 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Independiente Res.'s last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Newell's Old Boys Res. 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.

Lanús Res.'s last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Atl. Rafaela 2 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 9 June 2026, finished Lanús Res. 0–4 Independiente Res..

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Independiente Res. and 1.1 for Lanús Res.. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Independiente Res. 61%, draw 19%, Lanús Res. 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.

Prediction

Our prediction: Independiente Res. to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.93, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Independiente Res. 2–1 Lanús Res.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Independiente Res.61%fair 1.64 · @1.93

Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.40

Lanús Res.20%fair 5.05 · @3.22

3.10Expected goals

2.04Independiente Res. xG

1.06Lanús Res. xG

61%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%

1–110%

2–09%

1–09%

3–17%

3–06%

From our goals model: Independiente Res. 2.0 – 1.1 Lanús Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Independiente Res. to win	61%	1.64	1.93 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win	81%	1.24	1.21
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	61%	1.64	1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	79%	1.27	1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	57%	1.74	1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	64%	1.57	1.39
Half-time result	Independiente Res. ahead at half-time	44%	2.26	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Independiente Res. / FT Independiente Res.	38%	2.61	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	10%	10.06	–

Form

Independiente Res. – last 6

DWWWDW

3 Nov	@ Newell's Old Boys Res.	2–2	D
27 Oct	vs Defensa y Justicia Res.	4–1	W
20 Oct	@ Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	2–1	W
13 Oct	vs Huracán Res.	3–0	W
7 Oct	@ Ferro 2	0–0	D
1 Oct	vs Boca Juniors Res.	2–1	W

2.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Lanús Res. – last 6

WWWDWW

3 Nov	vs Atl. Rafaela 2	4–2	W
27 Oct	@ Platense Res.	3–1	W
21 Oct	vs Quilmes 2	4–1	W
14 Oct	@ Estudiantes La Plata Res	4–4	D
8 Oct	vs Central Córdoba SdE Res.	3–0	W
1 Oct	@ San Martín San Juan Res.	2–0	W

3.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vélez Sársfield Res.	20	15	2	3	+29	47
2	Boca Juniors Res.	20	12	3	5	+24	39
3	Racing Club Res.	21	11	6	4	+7	39
4	River Plate Res.	21	11	4	6	+9	37
5	Independiente Res.	19	11	3	5	+19	36
6	Lanús Res.	19	11	2	6	+13	35
7	Newell's Old Boys Res.	19	10	4	5	+9	34
8	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	+8	33
9	Defensa y Justicia Res.	18	9	5	4	+14	32
10	Atlético Tucumán Res.	19	9	3	7	-2	30
11	Unión Santa Fe Res.	18	7	8	3	+4	29
12	Estudiantes La Plata Res	18	8	4	6	+9	28
13	Argentinos Juniors Res.	18	7	7	4	+6	28
14	Belgrano Córdoba Res.	18	8	3	7	-2	27
15	Talleres Córdoba Res.	18	7	5	6	+6	26
16	Huracán Res.	18	7	5	6	+6	26
17	Rosario Central Res.	18	7	5	6	+3	26
18	Platense Res.	18	7	5	6	-3	26
19	Deportivo Riestra Res.	18	7	4	7	+7	25
20	Independiente Riva. Res.	18	7	3	8	0	24
21	Instituto Res.	18	5	9	4	-1	24
22	San Lorenzo Res.	18	6	6	6	-2	24
23	Gimnasia La Plata Res.	18	6	5	7	+2	23
24	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	-3	23
25	Banfield Res.	18	6	5	7	-4	23
26	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	-3	22
27	Central Córdoba SdE Res.	18	5	4	9	-12	19
28	Colón Res.	18	5	3	10	-8	18
29	Aldosivi Res.	18	5	3	10	-11	18
30	Barracas Central Res.	18	4	5	9	-13	17
31	Sarmiento Res.	18	4	4	10	-10	16
32	Tigre Res.	18	4	4	10	-10	16
33	Godoy Cruz Res.	18	4	3	11	-10	15
34	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	-15	12
35	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	-23	11
36	San Martín San Juan Res.	18	2	2	14	-43	8

Team

Pts

+29

+24

+19

+13

Newell's Old Boys Res.

Quilmes 2

Defensa y Justicia Res.

+14

Atlético Tucumán Res.

-2

Unión Santa Fe Res.

Estudiantes La Plata Res

Argentinos Juniors Res.

Belgrano Córdoba Res.

-2

Talleres Córdoba Res.

Huracán Res.

Rosario Central Res.

Platense Res.

-3

Deportivo Riestra Res.

Independiente Riva. Res.

Instituto Res.

-1

San Lorenzo Res.

-2

Gimnasia La Plata Res.

Gimnasia Mendoza 2

-3

Banfield Res.

-4

Ferro 2

-3

Central Córdoba SdE Res.

-12

Colón Res.

-8

Aldosivi Res.

-11

Barracas Central Res.

-13

-10

-10

-10

-15

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2

-23

San Martín San Juan Res.

-43

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

Our pick is Independiente Res. to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.93.

Who will win Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

On our numbers Independiente Res. have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lanús Res. 20%.

How many goals will there be in Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

Our predicted score is Independiente Res. 2–1 Lanús Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res.?

Independiente Res. vs Lanús Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes