Ligue 1 · AlgeriaMB Rouisset vs USM Alger prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.99 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
Value bet: USM Alger to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: MB Rouisset 0.8 – 1.2 USM Alger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
USM Alger shade it despite being away from home – 48% to win, against 27% for MB Rouisset.
MB Rouisset have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. USM Alger have 10 points from their last 6 (2W 4D 0L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (0.8 for MB Rouisset, 1.2 for USM Alger). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (16%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, MB Rouisset have won 1, USM Alger have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 50% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.99. For a bigger price, USM Alger to win at 2.30 is our value angle (48% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | USM Alger to win ✗ | 48% | 2.07 | 2.30 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.40 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.68 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 50% | 2.02 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT USM Alger / FT USM Alger ✗ | 26% | 3.80 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 16% | 6.12 | – |
Form
MB Rouisset – last 6
| 18 Sep | @ MC Alger | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Olympique Akbou | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ JS Kabylie | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Jun | @ Khenchela | 0–1 | L |
| 30 May | vs USM Alger | 1–0 | W |
| 19 May | vs Paradou AC | 2–1 | W |
USM Alger – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Olympique Akbou | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Sep | vs JS El Biar | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ Khenchela | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Jun | @ MC Oran | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Jun | @ Ben Aknoun | 2–2 | D |
| 2 Jun | vs CR Belouizdad | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 30 May 2026 | MB Rouisset v USM Alger | 1–0 |
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CR Belouizdad | 8 | +6 | 20 |
| 2 |  JS Kabylie | 8 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 |  MC Alger | 7 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  MB Rouisset | 9 | +3 | 15 |
| 5 |  MC Oran | 8 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 |  USM Alger | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 |  Olympique Akbou | 8 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  JS El Biar | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Témouchent | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 |  ES Setif | 8 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 |  Ben Aknoun | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  CS Constantine | 9 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 |  Khenchela | 8 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 |  JS Saoura | 8 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  ASO Chlef | 9 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 |  US Biskra | 9 | -10 | 4 |
More Ligue 1 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for MB Rouisset vs USM Alger?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win MB Rouisset vs USM Alger?
On our numbers MB Rouisset have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and USM Alger 48%.
How many goals will there be in MB Rouisset vs USM Alger?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is MB Rouisset vs USM Alger?
MB Rouisset vs USM Alger (Ligue 1) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.