Cup · Ukraine · Ukraina Stadium
Karpaty vs Obolon'-Brovar prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Karpaty 2.0 – 0.6 Obolon'-Brovar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Karpaty are clear favourites at home with a 71% chance of winning, against 9% for Obolon'-Brovar.
Karpaty have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 3.2 and conceding 0.3 per game. Obolon'-Brovar have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. Karpaty come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (2.0 for Karpaty, 0.6 for Obolon'-Brovar). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (15%), 1–0 (15%), 3–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Karpaty have won 1, Obolon'-Brovar have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.38.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Karpaty to win ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.28 |
| Double chance | Karpaty or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Karpaty ahead at half-time ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Karpaty / FT Karpaty ✓ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✓ | 15% | 6.60 | – |
Form
Karpaty – last 6
| 15 Aug | vs Bukovyna | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | vs LNZ Cherkasy | 3–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Kryvbas KR | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Jul | vs Veres Rivne | 5–1 | W |
| 18 Jul | vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | @ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0–0 | D |
Obolon'-Brovar – last 6
| 15 Aug | @ Kudrivka | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Bukovyna | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Aug | @ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Jul | vs Kudrivka | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Jul | @ Livyi Bereh | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jul | vs Kolos Kovalivka II | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 22 Mar 2026 | Karpaty v Obolon'-Brovar | 4–0 |
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Bukovyna4Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Karpaty vs Obolon'-Brovar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Karpaty vs Obolon'-Brovar?
On our numbers Karpaty have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Obolon'-Brovar 9%.
How many goals will there be in Karpaty vs Obolon'-Brovar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Karpaty vs Obolon'-Brovar?
Karpaty vs Obolon'-Brovar (Cup) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ukraina Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.