David Kipiani Cup · Georgia · David Petriashvili Stadium
Gagra vs Aragvi Dusheti prediction & analysis
Gagra to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gagra 1.8 – 0.8 Aragvi Dusheti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Gagra are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 17% for Aragvi Dusheti.
Gagra have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. Aragvi Dusheti have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. Aragvi Dusheti come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 for Gagra, 0.8 for Aragvi Dusheti). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 43%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Gagra to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.59.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gagra to win ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Gagra or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Half-time result | Gagra ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gagra / FT Gagra ✗ | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.41 | – |
Form
Gagra – last 6
| 22 Aug | @ Rustavi | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | vs Spaeri | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Dinamo Batumi | 2–2 | D |
| 2 Aug | @ Gareji | 4–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | @ Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Jul | vs FC Urartu | 2–2 | D |
Aragvi Dusheti – last 6
| 22 Aug | vs Gori | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Gareji | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Samtredia | 2–4 | L |
| 2 Aug | @ Guria | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jul | @ Kolkheti Poti | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Jul | vs FC Urartu | 4–3 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gagra and Aragvi Dusheti.
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Dinamo Batumi2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gagra vs Aragvi Dusheti?
Our pick is Gagra to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Gagra vs Aragvi Dusheti?
On our numbers Gagra have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aragvi Dusheti 17%.
How many goals will there be in Gagra vs Aragvi Dusheti?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
When is Gagra vs Aragvi Dusheti?
Gagra vs Aragvi Dusheti (David Kipiani Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.