Segunda División · ChileConcón National vs Trasandino prediction & analysis
Concón National or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Concón National to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Concón National 1.7 – 0.8 Trasandino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Concón National are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 18% for Trasandino.
Concón National have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Trasandino have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Concón National, 0.8 for Trasandino). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Concón National or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.21. For a bigger price, Concón National to win at 1.91 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Concón National to win ✗ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Concón National or draw ✗ | 82% | 1.21 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.87 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Concón National ahead at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Concón National / FT Concón National ✗ | 38% | 2.64 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 6.91 | – |
Form
Concón National – last 6
| 8 Aug | @ Provincial Osorno | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Jul | vs Santiago City | 4–2 | W |
| 5 Jul | @ Municipal Salamanca | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jun | vs Colina | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Jun | @ Real San Joaquín | 1–0 | W |
| 30 May | vs Provincial Ovalle | 1–0 | W |
Trasandino – last 6
| 9 Aug | vs Linares Unido | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs General Velásquez | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | @ General Velásquez | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Jul | vs Municipal Salamanca | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Jul | @ Real San Joaquín | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jun | vs Santiago City | 5–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Concón National and Trasandino.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Provincial Osorno | 12 | +10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Municipal Salamanca | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 3 |  Colchagua | 12 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 |  Concón National | 12 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Santiago City | 12 | -1 | 20 |
| 6 |  Linares Unido | 12 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 |  Trasandino | 12 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  General Velásquez | 12 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real San Joaquín | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lota Schwager | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Colina | 12 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Deportes Rengo | 12 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 |  Santiago Morning | 12 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Provincial Ovalle | 12 | -13 | 6 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Concón National vs Trasandino?
Our pick is Concón National or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Concón National vs Trasandino?
On our numbers Concón National have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Trasandino 18%.
How many goals will there be in Concón National vs Trasandino?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Concón National vs Trasandino?
Concón National vs Trasandino (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.