Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio Angelo MassiminoCatania vs Giugliano prediction & analysis
Catania to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Catania 2.5 – 0.9 Giugliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Catania are clear favourites at home with a 71% chance of winning, against 11% for Giugliano.
Catania have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Giugliano have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded. Catania come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.4 goals (2.5 for Catania, 0.9 for Giugliano). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 3–0 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Catania have won 1, Giugliano have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Catania to win at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.42. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.95 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Catania to win ✓ | 71% | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| Double chance | Catania or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Half-time result | Catania ahead at half-time ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Catania / FT Catania ✓ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.73 | – |
Form
Catania – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Potenza | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Team Altamura | 3–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Crotone | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Casertana | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Barletta | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | @ AZ Picerno | 4–2 | W |
Giugliano – last 6
| 19 Oct | vs Foggia | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Inter U23 | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Bari | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Barletta | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Salernitana | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Cosenza | 5–2 | W |
Head to head
| 22 Feb 2026 | Catania v Giugliano | 1–0 |
Serie C Girone C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Potenza | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bari | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Catania | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Scafatese | 13 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Audace Cerignola | 13 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  SS Monopoli | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Inter U23 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 |  Casertana | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Sorrento | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  AZ Picerno | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Cavese | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Team Altamura | 13 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 |  Giugliano | 13 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 |  Salernitana | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Barletta | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Foggia | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Casarano | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Savoia | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 19 |  Cosenza | 13 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 |  Crotone | 13 | -9 | 1 |
More Serie C Girone C predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Catania vs Giugliano?
Our pick is Catania to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Catania vs Giugliano?
On our numbers Catania have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Giugliano 11%.
How many goals will there be in Catania vs Giugliano?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Catania vs Giugliano?
Catania vs Giugliano (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Angelo Massimino.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.