Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio Comunale Donato CurcioAZ Picerno vs Cosenza prediction & analysis
AZ Picerno or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: AZ Picerno to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: AZ Picerno 2.3 – 1.1 Cosenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
AZ Picerno are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 14% for Cosenza.
AZ Picerno have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. Cosenza have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.5 scored and 2.2 conceded. AZ Picerno come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.4 goals (2.3 for AZ Picerno, 1.1 for Cosenza). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, AZ Picerno have won 1, Cosenza have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is AZ Picerno or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, AZ Picerno to win at 1.95 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | AZ Picerno to win ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | AZ Picerno or draw ✗ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Half-time result | AZ Picerno ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT AZ Picerno / FT AZ Picerno ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.28 | – |
Form
AZ Picerno – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Potenza | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Audace Cerignola | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Team Altamura | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Catania | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Sorrento | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Sep | vs Inter U23 | 4–1 | W |
Cosenza – last 6
| 4 Oct | vs Foggia | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Bari | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Scafatese | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | @ Giugliano | 2–5 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Cavese | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Sep | @ Catania | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
| 13 Apr 2026 | AZ Picerno v Cosenza | 3–1 |
Serie C Girone C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Potenza | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bari | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Catania | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Scafatese | 13 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Audace Cerignola | 13 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  SS Monopoli | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Inter U23 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 |  Casertana | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Sorrento | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  AZ Picerno | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Cavese | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Team Altamura | 13 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 |  Giugliano | 13 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 |  Salernitana | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Barletta | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Foggia | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Casarano | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Savoia | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 19 |  Cosenza | 13 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 |  Crotone | 13 | -9 | 1 |
More Serie C Girone C predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for AZ Picerno vs Cosenza?
Our pick is AZ Picerno or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AZ Picerno vs Cosenza?
On our numbers AZ Picerno have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cosenza 14%.
How many goals will there be in AZ Picerno vs Cosenza?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is AZ Picerno vs Cosenza?
AZ Picerno vs Cosenza (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.