Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio Comunale Alfredo VivianiPotenza vs Cavese prediction & analysis
Potenza or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Potenza to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Potenza 2.0 – 0.9 Cavese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Potenza hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 15% for Cavese.
Potenza have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Cavese have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded. Potenza come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.0 for Potenza, 0.9 for Cavese). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Potenza or draw at a 85% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Potenza to win at 1.95 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Potenza to win ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Potenza or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.80 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Half-time result | Potenza ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Potenza / FT Potenza ✓ | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.23 | – |
Form
Potenza – last 6
| 15 Sep | @ Bari | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Sep | @ Salernitana | 2–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs SS Monopoli | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs SS Monopoli | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Cosenza | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Casarano | 4–1 | W |
Cavese – last 6
| 15 Sep | vs Sorrento | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Cosenza | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Salernitana | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | vs Audace Cerignola | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | @ Bari | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Campobasso FC | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Potenza and Cavese.
Serie C Girone C table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Potenza | 13 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bari | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 3 |  Catania | 13 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Scafatese | 13 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 |  Audace Cerignola | 13 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  SS Monopoli | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Inter U23 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 8 |  Casertana | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Sorrento | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  AZ Picerno | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Cavese | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 |  Team Altamura | 13 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 |  Giugliano | 13 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 |  Salernitana | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Barletta | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Foggia | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 |  Casarano | 13 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 |  Savoia | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 19 |  Cosenza | 13 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 |  Crotone | 13 | -9 | 1 |
More Serie C Girone C predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Potenza vs Cavese?
Our pick is Potenza or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Potenza vs Cavese?
On our numbers Potenza have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cavese 15%.
How many goals will there be in Potenza vs Cavese?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Potenza vs Cavese?
Potenza vs Cavese (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.