Serie C Girone A · Italy · AlbinoLeffeAlbinoleffe vs Pergolettese prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Albinoleffe 1.3 – 1.0 Pergolettese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Albinoleffe hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 31% for Pergolettese.
Albinoleffe have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Pergolettese have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.3 for Albinoleffe, 1.0 for Pergolettese). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Albinoleffe have won 1, Pergolettese have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Albinoleffe to win ✓ | 45% | 2.20 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.15 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Albinoleffe / FT Albinoleffe ✓ | 25% | 4.02 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.57 | – |
Form
Albinoleffe – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ Renate | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Novara | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Lumezzane | 2–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Cittadella | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Alcione | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Juventus U23 | 5–3 | W |
Pergolettese – last 6
| 25 Oct | vs Lumezzane | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Ospitaletto | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Athletic Carpi | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Arzignano Valchiampo | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Trento | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Lecco | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 6 Apr 2026 | Albinoleffe v Pergolettese | 3–0 |
Serie C Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 13 | +13 | 31 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 13 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Trento | 13 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ospitaletto | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 13 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Lecco | 13 | +11 | 20 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Lumezzane | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  PRO Vercelli | 13 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 |  Desenzano Calvina | 13 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Novara | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 13 | -10 | 13 |
| 16 |  Giana Erminio | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Renate | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 13 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 |  Folgore Caratese | 13 | -10 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese?
On our numbers Albinoleffe have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pergolettese 31%.
How many goals will there be in Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese?
Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at AlbinoLeffe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.