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FA WSL · England · Stamford Bridge
Sat 14 Nov 2026

Chelsea W vs Manchester City W prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultChelsea W to win62% · @1.55
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.54

Win chances

Chelsea W62%fair 1.60 · @1.55
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @3.90
Manchester City W19%fair 5.27 · @4.75
3.56Expected goals
2.34Chelsea W xG
1.23Manchester City W xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: Chelsea W 2.3 – 1.2 Manchester City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Chelsea W are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 19% for Manchester City W.

Chelsea W have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 3.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Manchester City W have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.

We expect around 3.6 goals (2.3 for Chelsea W, 1.2 for Manchester City W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%).

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.50.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChelsea W to win62%1.601.55
Double chanceEither team to win81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score67%1.501.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals66%1.521.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals55%1.821.59
Half-time resultChelsea W ahead at half-time47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chelsea W / FT Chelsea W41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.54–

Form

Chelsea W – last 6

DWWWWW
7 Novvs Everton W1–1D
1 Nov@ Charlton Athletic W6–0W
28 Octvs Roma W2–0W
25 Oct@ Crystal Palace W3–1W
18 Octvs Tottenham Hotspur W6–2W
4 Oct@ West Ham W3–0W
3.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Manchester City W – last 6

WWDDWW
7 Novvs West Ham W5–0W
1 Nov@ London City Lionesses W2–1W
29 Octvs Paris Saint Germain W1–1D
25 Oct@ Manchester United W1–1D
18 Octvs Brighton W3–2W
4 Octvs Arsenal W4–2W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chelsea W and Manchester City W.

FA WSL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W9810+1725
2Chelsea W9720+2323
3London City Lionesses W9612+1319
4Tottenham Hotspur W9513+716
5Manchester United W9432-115
6Arsenal W9342013
7Brighton W9324+311
8Everton W9324-211
9Aston Villa W9243-610
10Crystal Palace W9234-99
11West Ham W9306-109
12Liverpool W9225-28
13Birmingham City W9135-106
14Charlton Athletic W9009-230

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelsea W vs Manchester City W?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Chelsea W vs Manchester City W?

On our numbers Chelsea W have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Manchester City W 19%.

How many goals will there be in Chelsea W vs Manchester City W?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

When is Chelsea W vs Manchester City W?

Chelsea W vs Manchester City W (FA WSL) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.