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FA WSL · England · Emirates Stadium
1–1
FT

Arsenal W vs Aston Villa W prediction & analysis

55%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultArsenal W to win ✗73% · @1.12
Double chanceArsenal W or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.89

Win chances

Arsenal W73%fair 1.38 · @1.12
Draw17%fair 5.97 · @8.00
Aston Villa W11%fair 9.32 · @13.00
2.71Expected goals
2.09Arsenal W xG
0.62Aston Villa W xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Arsenal W 2.1 – 0.6 Aston Villa W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Arsenal W are clear favourites at home with a 73% chance of winning, against 11% for Aston Villa W.

Arsenal W have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Aston Villa W have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Aston Villa W come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.7 goals (2.1 for Arsenal W, 0.6 for Aston Villa W). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (15%), 1–0 (14%), 3–0 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Arsenal W have won 1, Aston Villa W have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.82.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArsenal W to win ✗73%1.381.12
Double chanceArsenal W or draw ✓89%1.121.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.65
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Half-time resultArsenal W ahead at half-time ✗51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arsenal W / FT Arsenal W ✗47%2.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15%6.89–

Form

Arsenal W – last 6

WWDLDL
28 Octvs SL Benfica W3–0W
24 Oct@ Tottenham Hotspur W2–1W
17 Octvs Birmingham City W1–1D
4 Oct@ Manchester City W2–4L
30 Sep@ Paris FC W2–2D
27 Sep@ Chelsea W0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Aston Villa W – last 6

DWWWDW
28 Octvs Birmingham City W1–1D
25 Oct@ Everton W3–2W
21 Oct@ Burnley W2–0W
18 Octvs Liverpool W2–1W
4 Octvs Crystal Palace W1–1D
30 Sepvs Newcastle United W3–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 May 2026Aston Villa W v Arsenal W0–3

FA WSL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W9810+1725
2Chelsea W9720+2323
3London City Lionesses W9612+1319
4Tottenham Hotspur W9513+716
5Manchester United W9432-115
6Arsenal W9342013
7Brighton W9324+311
8Everton W9324-211
9Aston Villa W9243-610
10Crystal Palace W9234-99
11West Ham W9306-109
12Liverpool W9225-28
13Birmingham City W9135-106
14Charlton Athletic W9009-230

More FA WSL predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal W vs Aston Villa W?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Arsenal W vs Aston Villa W?

On our numbers Arsenal W have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Aston Villa W 11%.

How many goals will there be in Arsenal W vs Aston Villa W?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

When is Arsenal W vs Aston Villa W?

Arsenal W vs Aston Villa W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Emirates Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.