FA WSL · England · Manchester Regional ArenaManchester City W vs Brighton W prediction & analysis
Manchester City W to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Manchester City W 2.6 – 1.1 Brighton W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Manchester City W are clear favourites at home with a 71% chance of winning, against 12% for Brighton W.
Manchester City W have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Brighton W have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Manchester City W come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.7 goals (2.6 for Manchester City W, 1.1 for Brighton W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 3–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Manchester City W have won 1, Brighton W have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Manchester City W to win at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.42.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Manchester City W to win ✓ | 71% | 1.42 | 1.30 |
| Double chance | Manchester City W or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Half-time result | Manchester City W ahead at half-time ✓ | 54% | 1.87 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Manchester City W / FT Manchester City W ✓ | 49% | 2.06 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.97 | – |
Form
Manchester City W – last 6
| 4 Oct | vs Arsenal W | 4–2 | W |
| 1 Oct | vs Real Madrid W | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Charlton Athletic W | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ Bayern Munich W | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Liverpool W | 4–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Aston Villa W | 4–1 | W |
Brighton W – last 6
| 4 Oct | vs Charlton Athletic W | 5–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | vs Tottenham Hotspur W | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ London City Lionesses W | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | vs Charlton Athletic W | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Aston Villa W | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Birmingham City W | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 31 May 2026 | Brighton W v Manchester City W | 0–4 |
FA WSL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City W | 9 | +17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Chelsea W | 9 | +23 | 23 |
| 3 |  London City Lionesses W | 9 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Tottenham Hotspur W | 9 | +7 | 16 |
| 5 |  Manchester United W | 9 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Arsenal W | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 |  Brighton W | 9 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Everton W | 9 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa W | 9 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 |  Crystal Palace W | 9 | -9 | 9 |
| 11 |  West Ham W | 9 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 |  Liverpool W | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Birmingham City W | 9 | -10 | 6 |
| 14 |  Charlton Athletic W | 9 | -23 | 0 |
More FA WSL predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Manchester City W vs Brighton W?
Our pick is Manchester City W to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Manchester City W vs Brighton W?
On our numbers Manchester City W have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Brighton W 12%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester City W vs Brighton W?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Manchester City W vs Brighton W?
Manchester City W vs Brighton W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Manchester Regional Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.