FA WSL · England · The OakwoodCharlton Athletic W vs Manchester City W prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 3.00 – our chance 52% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +55%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Charlton Athletic W 0.9 – 3.2 Manchester City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Manchester City W travel as clear favourites – 79% to win, against 4% for Charlton Athletic W.
Charlton Athletic W have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.7 per game. Manchester City W have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 3.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Manchester City W come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.0 goals (0.9 for Charlton Athletic W, 3.2 for Manchester City W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 0–3 (9%), 0–2 (9%), 1–3 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.32. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 3.00 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Manchester City W to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.05 |
| Double chance | Manchester City W or draw ✓ | 96% | 1.04 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | 3.00 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.07 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | Manchester City W ahead at half-time ✓ | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Manchester City W / FT Manchester City W ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–3 ✗ | 9% | 10.82 | – |
Form
Charlton Athletic W – last 6
| 23 Sep | @ Brighton W | 0–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs London City Lionesses W | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Everton W | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Liverpool W | 0–4 | L |
| 5 Apr | vs Liverpool W | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | @ Crystal Palace W | 2–3 | L |
Manchester City W – last 6
| 22 Sep | @ Bayern Munich W | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Liverpool W | 4–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Aston Villa W | 4–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Birmingham City W | 3–1 | W |
| 31 May | @ Brighton W | 4–0 | W |
| 3 May | vs Liverpool W | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlton Athletic W and Manchester City W.
FA WSL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City W | 9 | +17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Chelsea W | 9 | +23 | 23 |
| 3 |  London City Lionesses W | 9 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Tottenham Hotspur W | 9 | +7 | 16 |
| 5 |  Manchester United W | 9 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Arsenal W | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 |  Brighton W | 9 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Everton W | 9 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa W | 9 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 |  Crystal Palace W | 9 | -9 | 9 |
| 11 |  West Ham W | 9 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 |  Liverpool W | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Birmingham City W | 9 | -10 | 6 |
| 14 |  Charlton Athletic W | 9 | -23 | 0 |
More FA WSL predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Charlton Athletic W vs Manchester City W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Charlton Athletic W vs Manchester City W?
On our numbers Charlton Athletic W have a 4% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Manchester City W 79%.
How many goals will there be in Charlton Athletic W vs Manchester City W?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Charlton Athletic W vs Manchester City W?
Charlton Athletic W vs Manchester City W (FA WSL) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at The Oakwood.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.