FA WSL · England · Stamford BridgeChelsea W vs Birmingham City W prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 2.30 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Chelsea W 2.6 – 1.1 Birmingham City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Chelsea W are clear favourites at home with a 71% chance of winning, against 16% for Birmingham City W.
Chelsea W have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 3.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Birmingham City W have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. Chelsea W come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.8 goals (2.6 for Chelsea W, 1.1 for Birmingham City W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 3–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.30 is better than our fair price of 1.82, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Chelsea W to win ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.07 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 2.30 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Half-time result | Chelsea W ahead at half-time ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Chelsea W / FT Chelsea W ✓ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.98 | – |
Form
Chelsea W – last 6
| 13 Sep | @ Manchester United W | 5–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Aston Villa W | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Sep | @ Real Sociedad W | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | vs Real Sociedad W | 5–2 | W |
| 26 Apr | @ Everton W | 4–1 | W |
| 6 Apr | vs Tottenham Hotspur W | 2–1 | W |
Birmingham City W – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Brighton W | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Manchester City W | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Apr | vs Ipswich Town W | 0–3 | L |
| 6 Apr | vs Manchester City W | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Apr | vs Sunderland W | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | @ Bristol City W | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelsea W and Birmingham City W.
FA WSL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City W | 9 | +17 | 25 |
| 2 |  Chelsea W | 9 | +23 | 23 |
| 3 |  London City Lionesses W | 9 | +13 | 19 |
| 4 |  Tottenham Hotspur W | 9 | +7 | 16 |
| 5 |  Manchester United W | 9 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Arsenal W | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 |  Brighton W | 9 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Everton W | 9 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa W | 9 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 |  Crystal Palace W | 9 | -9 | 9 |
| 11 |  West Ham W | 9 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 |  Liverpool W | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Birmingham City W | 9 | -10 | 6 |
| 14 |  Charlton Athletic W | 9 | -23 | 0 |
More FA WSL predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chelsea W vs Birmingham City W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win Chelsea W vs Birmingham City W?
On our numbers Chelsea W have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Birmingham City W 16%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea W vs Birmingham City W?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Chelsea W vs Birmingham City W?
Chelsea W vs Birmingham City W (FA WSL) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:45 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.