J2 League · Japan · Yamaha StadiumJubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Jubilo Iwata 1.1 – 1.1 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Jubilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Jubilo Iwata have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Sagan Tosu have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. Sagan Tosu come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.1 for Jubilo Iwata, 1.1 for Sagan Tosu). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (12%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.80.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Jubilo Iwata to win ✓ | 38% | 2.63 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.32 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Jubilo Iwata / FT Jubilo Iwata ✗ | 20% | 4.96 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.29 | – |
Form
Jubilo Iwata – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ Iwaki | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | vs Oita Trinita | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Oct | vs Kawasaki Frontale | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Consadole Sapporo | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Vegalta Sendai | 1–2 | L |
Sagan Tosu – last 6
| 28 Oct | vs Kawasaki Frontale | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Vanraure Hachinohe | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | @ Albirex Niigata | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Omiya Ardija | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | vs Avispa Fukuoka | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Fujieda MYFC | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jubilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu.
J2 League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albirex Niigata | 16 | -1 | 32 |
| 2 |  Yokohama FC | 16 | +15 | 31 |
| 3 |  Kataller Toyama | 16 | +14 | 31 |
| 4 |  Vegalta Sendai | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Omiya Ardija | 16 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 |  Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 7 |  Consadole Sapporo | 16 | +3 | 26 |
| 8 |  Iwaki | 16 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Jubilo Iwata | 16 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |  Shonan Bellmare | 16 | +1 | 23 |
| 11 |  Oita Trinita | 16 | +5 | 22 |
| 12 |  Blaublitz Akita | 16 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Sagan Tosu | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 |  Montedio Yamagata | 16 | -2 | 19 |
| 15 |  Tokushima Vortis | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 |  Fujieda MYFC | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |  Tochigi City | 16 | -10 | 12 |
| 19 |  Imabari | 16 | -16 | 12 |
| 20 |  Ventforet Kofu | 16 | -22 | 12 |
More J2 League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
On our numbers Jubilo Iwata have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sagan Tosu 37%.
How many goals will there be in Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Yamaha Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.