J2 League · Japan · Iwaki GreenfieldIwaki vs Ventforet Kofu prediction & analysis
Iwaki or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Iwaki to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Iwaki 2.0 – 0.9 Ventforet Kofu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Iwaki are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 16% for Ventforet Kofu.
Iwaki have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Ventforet Kofu have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded. Iwaki come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.0 for Iwaki, 0.9 for Ventforet Kofu). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Iwaki have won 1, Ventforet Kofu have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Iwaki or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.19. For a bigger price, Iwaki to win at 1.73 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Iwaki to win ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Double chance | Iwaki or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Half-time result | Iwaki ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Iwaki / FT Iwaki ✓ | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.84 | – |
Form
Iwaki – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Blaublitz Akita | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | @ Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 0–4 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Consadole Sapporo | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Vegalta Sendai | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Sagan Tosu | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Yokohama FC | 2–0 | W |
Ventforet Kofu – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Tochigi City | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Kataller Toyama | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Omiya Ardija | 1–5 | L |
| 23 Sep | @ Kashima | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Tokushima Vortis | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Jubilo Iwata | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 9 May 2026 | Iwaki v Ventforet Kofu | 0–1 |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Ventforet Kofu v Iwaki | 0–1 |
J2 League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albirex Niigata | 16 | -1 | 32 |
| 2 |  Yokohama FC | 16 | +15 | 31 |
| 3 |  Kataller Toyama | 16 | +14 | 31 |
| 4 |  Vegalta Sendai | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Omiya Ardija | 16 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 |  Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 7 |  Consadole Sapporo | 16 | +3 | 26 |
| 8 |  Iwaki | 16 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Jubilo Iwata | 16 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |  Shonan Bellmare | 16 | +1 | 23 |
| 11 |  Oita Trinita | 16 | +5 | 22 |
| 12 |  Blaublitz Akita | 16 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Sagan Tosu | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 |  Montedio Yamagata | 16 | -2 | 19 |
| 15 |  Tokushima Vortis | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 |  Fujieda MYFC | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |  Tochigi City | 16 | -10 | 12 |
| 19 |  Imabari | 16 | -16 | 12 |
| 20 |  Ventforet Kofu | 16 | -22 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu?
Our pick is Iwaki or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu?
On our numbers Iwaki have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ventforet Kofu 16%.
How many goals will there be in Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu?
Iwaki vs Ventforet Kofu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Iwaki Greenfield.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.