J2 League · Japan · Soyu StadiumBlaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Blaublitz Akita to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Blaublitz Akita 1.2 – 1.3 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Blaublitz Akita and Sagan Tosu on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Blaublitz Akita have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Sagan Tosu have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.2 for Blaublitz Akita, 1.3 for Sagan Tosu). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.91. For a bigger price, Blaublitz Akita to win at 3.10 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sagan Tosu to win ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.34 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sagan Tosu / FT Sagan Tosu ✗ | 22% | 4.54 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.46 | – |
Form
Blaublitz Akita – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Albirex Niigata | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Shonan Bellmare | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Tokushima Vortis | 4–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Omiya Ardija | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Sep | @ Ehime FC | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Vanraure Hachinohe | 0–1 | L |
Sagan Tosu – last 6
| 29 Sep | vs Tokyo Verdy | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Montedio Yamagata | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | @ Vissel Kobe | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Iwaki | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Imabari | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Blaublitz Akita and Sagan Tosu.
J2 League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albirex Niigata | 16 | -1 | 32 |
| 2 |  Yokohama FC | 16 | +15 | 31 |
| 3 |  Kataller Toyama | 16 | +14 | 31 |
| 4 |  Vegalta Sendai | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Omiya Ardija | 16 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 |  Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 7 |  Consadole Sapporo | 16 | +3 | 26 |
| 8 |  Iwaki | 16 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Jubilo Iwata | 16 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |  Shonan Bellmare | 16 | +1 | 23 |
| 11 |  Oita Trinita | 16 | +5 | 22 |
| 12 |  Blaublitz Akita | 16 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Sagan Tosu | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 |  Montedio Yamagata | 16 | -2 | 19 |
| 15 |  Tokushima Vortis | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 |  Fujieda MYFC | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |  Tochigi City | 16 | -10 | 12 |
| 19 |  Imabari | 16 | -16 | 12 |
| 20 |  Ventforet Kofu | 16 | -22 | 12 |
More J2 League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu?
On our numbers Blaublitz Akita have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sagan Tosu 39%.
How many goals will there be in Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu?
Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Soyu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.