III Liga Group 3 · Poland · ArcelorMittal ParkZaglebie Sosnowiec vs Rakow II prediction & analysis
Zaglebie Sosnowiec to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2.1 – 0.8 Rakow II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Zaglebie Sosnowiec are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 14% for Rakow II.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Rakow II have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Zaglebie Sosnowiec come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.1 for Zaglebie Sosnowiec, 0.8 for Rakow II). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Zaglebie Sosnowiec to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.38 is close to our fair price of 1.49.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Zaglebie Sosnowiec to win ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.38 |
| Double chance | Zaglebie Sosnowiec or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Half-time result | Zaglebie Sosnowiec ahead at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Zaglebie Sosnowiec / FT Zaglebie Sosnowiec ✓ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.43 | – |
Form
Zaglebie Sosnowiec – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Kluczbork | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Odra Bytom Odrzański | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | @ Górnik Polkowice | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Polonia Nysa | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Barycz Sułów | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Sparta Katowice | 0–1 | L |
Rakow II – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Miedź Legnica II | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | @ Polonia Nysa | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Sparta Katowice | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Ślęza Wrocław | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Goczałkowice Zdrój | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ Stal Brzeg | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zaglebie Sosnowiec and Rakow II.
III Liga Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 16 | +16 | 37 |
| 2 |  Sparta Katowice | 16 | +21 | 36 |
| 3 |  Odra Bytom Odrzański | 16 | +6 | 31 |
| 4 |  Zagłębie Lubin II | 16 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 |  ROW Rybnik | 16 | +8 | 26 |
| 6 |  Miedź Legnica II | 16 | +8 | 23 |
| 7 |  Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 16 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 |  Kluczbork | 16 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 |  Górnik Polkowice | 16 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Barycz Sułów | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 |  Goczałkowice Zdrój | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Stal Brzeg | 16 | +5 | 19 |
| 13 |  Stilon Gorzów | 16 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 |  Carina Gubin | 16 | -13 | 16 |
| 15 |  Ślęza Wrocław | 16 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 |  Warta Gorzów | 16 | -19 | 14 |
| 17 |  Rakow II | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  Polonia Nysa | 15 | -14 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Rakow II?
Our pick is Zaglebie Sosnowiec to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Rakow II?
On our numbers Zaglebie Sosnowiec have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rakow II 14%.
How many goals will there be in Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Rakow II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Rakow II?
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Rakow II (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at ArcelorMittal Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.