Division 1 · Saudi-Arabia · King Abdullah Sports City StadiumAl Najma vs Al Zulfi prediction & analysis
Al Najma or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Al Najma to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Al Najma 1.5 – 0.7 Al Zulfi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Al Najma hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 17% for Al Zulfi.
Al Najma have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (2W 4D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Al Zulfi have 10 points from their last 6 (2W 4D 0L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.5 for Al Najma, 0.7 for Al Zulfi). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Al Najma or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Al Najma to win at 1.95 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Al Najma to win ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Al Najma or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Al Najma / FT Al Najma ✓ | 35% | 2.87 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 17% | 5.89 | – |
Form
Al Najma – last 6
| 20 Oct | @ Hajer | 4–2 | W |
| 12 Oct | vs Damac | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Al Anwar | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | vs Al-Raed | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Sep | @ Al Okhdood | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Sep | vs Al Jabalain | 1–1 | D |
Al Zulfi – last 6
| 19 Oct | vs Al Ula | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Oct | @ Al Bukayriyah | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Al-Raed | 4–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Al Taee | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Sep | vs Hajer | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Sep | @ Al Orubah | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najma and Al Zulfi.
Division 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ula | 10 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Al Jabalain | 11 | +8 | 24 |
| 3 |  Al Wehda Club | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Al Najma | 11 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |  Damac | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 6 |  Al Zulfi | 11 | +9 | 18 |
| 7 |  Al Anwar | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Al Saqer | 11 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Al Taee | 11 | -9 | 14 |
| 10 |  Al-Adalah | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Al-Raed | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Jeddah Club | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 |  Al Orubah | 9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Al Jandal | 10 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 |  Al Okhdood | 10 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Hajer | 10 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 |  Al Bukayriyah | 11 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 |  Al Jeel | 9 | -10 | 5 |
More Division 1 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Al Najma vs Al Zulfi?
Our pick is Al Najma or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Najma vs Al Zulfi?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Zulfi 17%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs Al Zulfi?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Al Najma vs Al Zulfi?
Al Najma vs Al Zulfi (Division 1) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 16:05 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.