Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Damac to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDamac to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceDamac or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗25% · fair 4.04
Al Bukayriyah vs Damac preview and prediction
The match
The Division 1 sees Al Bukayriyah take on Damac on Monday 14 September, kicking off at 16:50 (WAT) at Al Bukayriyah Club Stadium. Al Bukayriyah are 17th with 6 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Damac sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Al Bukayriyah's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Al Jandal 1–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Damac's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Al Ula 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.4 for Al Bukayriyah and 1.3 for Damac. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 78% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Bukayriyah 14%, draw 23%, Damac 63%.
Safer route: Damac or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Damac to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Damac or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Bukayriyah 0–1 Damac. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Bukayriyah14%fair 7.20 · @3.75
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.90
Damac63%fair 1.59 · @1.91
1.63Expected goals
0.37Al Bukayriyah xG
1.26Damac xG
47%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–125%
0–020%
0–216%
1–19%
1–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Al Bukayriyah 0.4 – 1.3 Damac expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Damac to win✓
63%
1.59
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Damac or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Damac / FT Damac✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
25%
4.04
–
Form
Al Bukayriyah – last 6
LLDDLL
9 Sep
@ Al Jandal
1–4
L
31 Aug
vs Al-Adalah
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Al Okhdood
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Al Anwar
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Al-Hazm
2–3
L
14 May
@ Al Diriyah
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Damac – last 6
LDDDLL
8 Sep
vs Al Ula
0–1
L
2 Sep
@ Al Wehda Club
2–2
D
28 Aug
vs Al Orubah
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Al Saqer
0–0
D
19 Aug
vs Al Taawon
0–3
L
21 May
@ Al-Nassr
1–4
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Bukayriyah and Damac.
What is the prediction for Al Bukayriyah vs Damac?
Our pick is Damac or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al Bukayriyah vs Damac?
On our numbers Al Bukayriyah have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Damac 63%.
How many goals will there be in Al Bukayriyah vs Damac?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Bukayriyah vs Damac?
Our predicted score is Al Bukayriyah 0–1 Damac, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Al Bukayriyah vs Damac?
Al Bukayriyah vs Damac (Division 1) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 16:50 (West Africa Time) at Al Bukayriyah Club Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
