Division 1 · Saudi-Arabia · Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz StadiumAl Ula vs Al-Raed prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.39 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Al Ula 1.9 – 0.9 Al-Raed expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Al Ula are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 16% for Al-Raed.
Al Ula have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Al-Raed have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. Al Ula come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.9 for Al Ula, 0.9 for Al-Raed). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.39 is close to our fair price of 1.50.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Al Ula to win ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.51 |
| Double chance | Al Ula or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.77 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.17 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.39 |
| Half-time result | Al Ula ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Al Ula / FT Al Ula ✓ | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.78 | – |
Form
Al Ula – last 6
| 28 Aug | @ Al Anwar | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Al Jabalain | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | vs Al-Fateh | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Jul | @ Crystal Palace | 1–3 | L |
| 14 May | vs Al Zulfi | 5–2 | W |
| 27 Apr | @ Al Anwar | 2–1 | W |
Al-Raed – last 6
| 28 Aug | vs Hajer | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Al Orubah | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 0–2 | L |
| 13 May | vs Abha | 5–1 | W |
| 27 Apr | vs Al-Faisaly FC | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | @ Al Diriyah | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ula and Al-Raed.
Division 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ula | 10 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Al Jabalain | 11 | +8 | 24 |
| 3 |  Al Wehda Club | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Al Najma | 11 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |  Damac | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 6 |  Al Zulfi | 11 | +9 | 18 |
| 7 |  Al Anwar | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Al Saqer | 11 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Al Taee | 11 | -9 | 14 |
| 10 |  Al-Adalah | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Al-Raed | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Jeddah Club | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 |  Al Orubah | 9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Al Jandal | 10 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 |  Al Okhdood | 10 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Hajer | 10 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 |  Al Bukayriyah | 11 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 |  Al Jeel | 9 | -10 | 5 |
More Division 1 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Al Ula vs Al-Raed?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Al Ula vs Al-Raed?
On our numbers Al Ula have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al-Raed 16%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ula vs Al-Raed?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Al Ula vs Al-Raed?
Al Ula vs Al-Raed (Division 1) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 18:40 (West Africa Time) at Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.