Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAris to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
AEL vs Aris preview and prediction
The match
Aris travel to Alphamega Stadium in the 1. Division on Sunday 25 October (18:00 WAT) to face AEL. AEL are 3rd with 18 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Aris sit 7th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AEL's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Omonia Aradippou 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aris's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with AEK Larnaca 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AEL arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for AEL and 1.5 for Aris. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AEL 33%, draw 22%, Aris 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: AEL 1–1 Aris. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AEL33%fair 3.01 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.20
Aris45%fair 2.22 · @2.05
2.75Expected goals
1.25AEL xG
1.50Aris xG
63%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: AEL 1.2 – 1.5 Aris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aris to win✓
45%
2.22
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aris / FT Aris✓
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Form
AEL – last 6
WWWWLW
18 Oct
@ Omonia Aradippou
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Omonia 29is Maiou
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Pafos
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs Nea Salamis
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Apoel Nicosia
0–6
L
30 Aug
vs Anorthosis
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aris – last 6
DWWLDW
18 Oct
vs AEK Larnaca
1–1
D
14 Oct
vs Ethnikos Achna
4–0
W
11 Oct
@ Olympiakos
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs Riga
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Karmiotissa
0–0
D
14 Sep
@ Krasava Ypsonas
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEL and Aris.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win AEL vs Aris?
On our numbers AEL have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aris 45%.
How many goals will there be in AEL vs Aris?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEL vs Aris?
Our predicted score is AEL 1–1 Aris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is AEL vs Aris?
AEL vs Aris (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
