Pro League · Saudi-Arabia · Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz StadiumAl Diriyah vs NEOM prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Value bet: NEOM to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Al Diriyah 0.9 – 1.1 NEOM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
NEOM shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 34% for Al Diriyah.
Al Diriyah have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. NEOM have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (0.9 for Al Diriyah, 1.1 for NEOM). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.82. For a bigger price, NEOM to win at 2.45 is our value angle (44% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | NEOM to win ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | 2.45 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.03 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT NEOM / FT NEOM ✗ | 22% | 4.45 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 6.93 | – |
Form
Al Diriyah – last 6
| 23 Oct | @ Al-Ittihad FC | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Al Riyadh | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Al Taawon | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Oct | @ Al-Nassr | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Abha | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Sep | @ Al-Fateh | 2–1 | W |
NEOM – last 6
| 27 Oct | @ Al-Shabab | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Oct | vs Abha | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | @ Al-Nassr | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Al-Ettifaq | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Al-Hazm | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Diriyah and NEOM.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 11 | +23 | 30 |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | +20 | 28 |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 11 | +17 | 28 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  NEOM | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 11 | +9 | 21 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 12 | +1 | 19 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 12 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 |  Al Shabab | 11 | +5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Al Kholood | 11 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 |  Al Riyadh | 11 | -14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Al-Fayha | 12 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Al-Hazm | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 12 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 12 | -15 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 12 | -14 | 5 |
| 18 |  Abha | 11 | -12 | 3 |
More Pro League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Al Diriyah vs NEOM?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Al Diriyah vs NEOM?
On our numbers Al Diriyah have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NEOM 44%.
How many goals will there be in Al Diriyah vs NEOM?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Al Diriyah vs NEOM?
Al Diriyah vs NEOM (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 15:50 (West Africa Time) at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.