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Pro League · Saudi-Arabia · Alinma Stadium
2–0
FT

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah prediction & analysis

60%
Footrivo pick

Al-Ittihad FC to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.91Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAl-Ittihad FC to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.06

Win chances

Al-Ittihad FC60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
Draw16%fair 6.45 · @3.60
Al Diriyah24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
2.42Expected goals
1.59Al-Ittihad FC xG
0.83Al Diriyah xG
59%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: Al-Ittihad FC 1.6 – 0.8 Al Diriyah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Al-Ittihad FC are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 24% for Al Diriyah.

Al-Ittihad FC have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Al Diriyah have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.

We expect around 2.4 goals (1.6 for Al-Ittihad FC, 0.8 for Al Diriyah). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (11%).

Our pick is Al-Ittihad FC to win at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is better than our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl-Ittihad FC to win ✓60%1.661.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.181.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.77–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al-Ittihad FC / FT Al-Ittihad FC ✓34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.06–

Form

Al-Ittihad FC – last 6

WLLDWW
20 Oct@ Al-Ettifaq4–1W
13 Octvs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai1–2L
10 Oct@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC2–3L
14 Sep@ Al Shamal1–1D
11 Sep@ Al-Faisaly FC3–1W
8 Sepvs Al-Fayha2–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Al Diriyah – last 6

WDLDWL
20 Octvs Al Riyadh1–0W
17 Octvs Al Taawon1–1D
9 Oct@ Al-Nassr0–3L
13 Sepvs Abha0–0D
9 Sep@ Al-Fateh2–1W
3 Sepvs Al-Qadisiyah FC0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Al-Ittihad FC and Al Diriyah.

Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC111001+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12912+2028
3Al-Nassr11911+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11731+1024
5NEOM12714+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11704+921
7Al-Ettifaq12543+119
8Al Diriyah12435-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12363-515
10Al Shabab11353+514
11Al Kholood11335-912
12Al Riyadh11335-1412
13Al-Fayha12255-411
14Al-Hazm12246-610
15Al-Faisaly FC12246-1110
16Al-Fateh12138-156
17Al Taawon12057-145
18Abha11038-123

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?

Our pick is Al-Ittihad FC to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?

On our numbers Al-Ittihad FC have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Al Diriyah 24%.

How many goals will there be in Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

When is Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Alinma Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.