Liga II · Romania · Stadionul Cornel Negoescu - artificial grassMetalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Metalul Buzău 1.4 – 1.3 ASA Targu Mures expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Metalul Buzău hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 35% for ASA Targu Mures.
Metalul Buzău have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. ASA Targu Mures have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Metalul Buzău, 1.3 for ASA Targu Mures). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 62%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
In their last 2 meetings, Metalul Buzău have won 1, ASA Targu Mures have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.61.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Metalul Buzău to win ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.40 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Metalul Buzău / FT Metalul Buzău ✗ | 24% | 4.11 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 10% | 10.24 | – |
Form
Metalul Buzău – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Concordia | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Unirea Slobozia | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Viitorul Şelimbăr | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Chindia Targoviste | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Slatina | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | @ Gloria Bistriţa | 0–0 | D |
ASA Targu Mures – last 6
| 22 Sep | vs CS Dinamo București | 4–3 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ CS Afumati | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Metaloglobus | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ FC Politehnica Timisoara | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Gloria Bistriţa | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ FC Politehnica Timisoara | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 4 Apr 2026 | ASA Targu Mures v Metalul Buzău | 1–4 |
| 28 Feb 2026 | ASA Targu Mures v Metalul Buzău | 1–0 |
Liga II table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chindia Targoviste | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 2 |  FC Politehnica Timisoara | 13 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |  Slatina | 13 | +9 | 28 |
| 4 |  Popești-Leordeni | 13 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |  Concordia | 13 | +14 | 25 |
| 6 |  CSM Reşiţa | 13 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 |  Cetatea Suceava | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Metalul Buzău | 12 | +5 | 21 |
| 9 |  Metaloglobus | 13 | +2 | 21 |
| 10 |  CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 13 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 |  FC Bacau | 13 | +9 | 19 |
| 12 |  Bihor Oradea | 13 | +7 | 19 |
| 13 |  CS Afumati | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Gloria Bistriţa | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Unirea Slobozia | 13 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 |  CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 17 |  ASA Targu Mures | 13 | -13 | 11 |
| 18 |  CSM Satu Mare | 13 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 |  Viitorul Şelimbăr | 13 | -16 | 9 |
| 20 |  Ştefăneşti | 13 | -20 | 9 |
| 21 |  CS Dinamo București | 13 | -17 | 8 |
| 22 |  Dumbrăviţa | 13 | -17 | 4 |
More Liga II predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures?
On our numbers Metalul Buzău have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and ASA Targu Mures 35%.
How many goals will there be in Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures?
Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Cornel Negoescu - artificial grass.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.