Liga II · Romania · Stadionul Jean PadureanuGloria Bistriţa vs Popești-Leordeni prediction & analysis
Gloria Bistriţa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gloria Bistriţa 1.9 – 1.0 Popești-Leordeni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Gloria Bistriţa hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 17% for Popești-Leordeni.
Gloria Bistriţa have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Popești-Leordeni have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. Popești-Leordeni come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 for Gloria Bistriţa, 1.0 for Popești-Leordeni). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–0 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%).
Our pick is Gloria Bistriţa or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.20. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.80 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gloria Bistriţa to win ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.80 |
| Double chance | Gloria Bistriţa or draw ✗ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Half-time result | Gloria Bistriţa ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gloria Bistriţa / FT Gloria Bistriţa ✗ | 37% | 2.69 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.64 | – |
Form
Gloria Bistriţa – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Ştefăneşti | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Sep | vs Csikszereda | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs CSM Satu Mare | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ ASA Targu Mures | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Aug | vs Metalul Buzău | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Concordia | 1–2 | L |
Popești-Leordeni – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Bihor Oradea | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Cetatea Suceava | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs CSM Reşiţa | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | vs FC Bacau | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Dumbrăviţa | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Aug | vs CS Dinamo București | 5–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gloria Bistriţa and Popești-Leordeni.
Liga II table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chindia Targoviste | 13 | +19 | 30 |
| 2 |  FC Politehnica Timisoara | 13 | +13 | 29 |
| 3 |  Slatina | 13 | +9 | 28 |
| 4 |  Popești-Leordeni | 13 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |  Concordia | 13 | +14 | 25 |
| 6 |  CSM Reşiţa | 13 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 |  Cetatea Suceava | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Metalul Buzău | 12 | +5 | 21 |
| 9 |  Metaloglobus | 13 | +2 | 21 |
| 10 |  CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 13 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 |  FC Bacau | 13 | +9 | 19 |
| 12 |  Bihor Oradea | 13 | +7 | 19 |
| 13 |  CS Afumati | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Gloria Bistriţa | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Unirea Slobozia | 13 | +2 | 14 |
| 16 |  CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 17 |  ASA Targu Mures | 13 | -13 | 11 |
| 18 |  CSM Satu Mare | 13 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 |  Viitorul Şelimbăr | 13 | -16 | 9 |
| 20 |  Ştefăneşti | 13 | -20 | 9 |
| 21 |  CS Dinamo București | 13 | -17 | 8 |
| 22 |  Dumbrăviţa | 13 | -17 | 4 |
More Liga II predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gloria Bistriţa vs Popești-Leordeni?
Our pick is Gloria Bistriţa or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gloria Bistriţa vs Popești-Leordeni?
On our numbers Gloria Bistriţa have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Popești-Leordeni 17%.
How many goals will there be in Gloria Bistriţa vs Popești-Leordeni?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Gloria Bistriţa vs Popești-Leordeni?
Gloria Bistriţa vs Popești-Leordeni (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Jean Padureanu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.